Russia’s next election is likely to put Putin in power for longer than anyone since Peter the Great
It is inevitable that the incumbent president, Vladimir Putin, will win.
- It is inevitable that the incumbent president, Vladimir Putin, will win.
- Putin has been in power (whether as president or as prime minister) since 2000.
- In the last presidential election in 2018, the Communist candidate came second to Putin, (12% of the vote compared to Putin’s 77%).
Opposition candidates?
- Some potential candidates who wanted to stand in opposition to Putin – and in specific opposition to the war in Ukraine – have, on dubious bureaucratic grounds, been refused permission to do so.
- But it is a brave candidate who might try and oppose the sitting president in this election.
- In the past, leading opposition figures in Putin’s Russia who stood up to him and who questioned his authority have tended to be dealt with harshly.
- The liberal Boris Nemtsov was killed, for instance, in 2015 outside the Kremlin (supposedly by agents linked to Putin’s FSB).
- And other leading Putin critics such as Alexei Navalny and Mikhail Khodorkovsky have been sent to jail in Siberia.
Putin’s future
- President Alexander Lukashenko was almost unseated by a wave of street protests in the wake of what appeared to be a “sham” election.
- Indeed, Putin himself was given a severe shock in 2011 when the same thing happened in Russia.
- Thousands of protestors came out onto the streets of Moscow and St Petersburg after seemingly fraudulent elections.
- So, despite all the temptations, he needs to keep this forthcoming presidential election as seemingly “free” and fair as possible.
Rod Thornton does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.