Official statistics

Nowcasting consumer price inflation using high-frequency scanner data: evidence from Germany

Retrieved on: 
Mardi, avril 23, 2024
Consensus, Online, Cream, Honey, Tax, Glass, MAPI, Consensus Economics, Journal of Economic Perspectives, Milk, Shower, Low-alcohol beer, Autoregressive–moving-average model, Infant, C3, Islam, Wine, Core inflation, Research Papers in Economics, National accounts, Kálmán, Barcode, Journal of International Economics, Communication, Royal Statistical Society, COVID19, Kohl (cosmetics), Natural disaster, Business, Observation, Paper, VAT, European Economic Review, Diebold Nixdorf, Blancmange, Calendar, Sunflower oil, Annual Review of Economics, Hand, C4, DESTATIS, NBER, Tinning, Razor, Forecasting, Gasoline, Coffee, European Economic Association, Cat, Journal of Monetary Economics, Journal of Applied Econometrics, Medeiros, Architecture, Oxford University Press, Producer, GfK, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Margarine, NCBS, Starch, Political economy, Consistency, COVID-19, Consensus decision-making, Website, MIDAS, Behavior, Deutsche Bundesbank, PPI, World Bank, Collection, Medical classification, Orange, Eurozone, Butter, FMCG, Noise, Travel, Clothing, History, Inflation, Liver, International economics, Journal of Political Economy, BSI, OLS, Statistics, Consumer, PDF, University of Chicago, Classification, ECB, Fats, Policy, Multi, WOB, Outline, C6, Mincing, Canadian International Council, Social science, Perfume, University of California, Berkeley, Journal of Forecasting, Federal Reserve Bank, JEL, L1, Journal, Research, Candle, Food, TPD, Credit, Spice, LPG, Janssen, Marmalade, Superior, Literature, Chocolate, Beef, Kiel University, European Central Bank, Natural gas, HICP, Monetary economics, Yogurt, Section 5, ILO, Bermingham, Price, GTIN, Cheese, Macroeconomics, Growth, Beck, XJ, Government, De Beer, Supermarket, Ice cream, Naturally, C53, Corn flakes, BIS, Biscuit, LASSO, Petroleum, A.2, Poultry, Accuracy and precision, Application, White, Lettuce, Risk, ESCB, University of Siegen, OECD, Chapter One, Lipstick, Sack, XT, BIC, Garlic, Consumption, Sokol, Meat, VAR, Database, Section 3, Rusk, American Economic Journal, Royal, Curd, Overalls, Lamb, Great Lockdown, Fruit, Economy, COICOP, International Journal of Forecasting, Aftershave, Section 2, Nonparametric statistics, Attention, Conference, CPI, Heat, Public economics, Common sunflower, Nowcasting, American Economic Review, Computational Statistics (journal), GFK, COVID-19 pandemic, Exercise, Shock, Running, UNECE, Edible, Gambling, Banco, Rigid transformation, European Commission, Frozen, C.2, PRISMA, Official statistics, Concept, Drink, Transaction data, Somatosensory system, Punctuality, Altbier, Food prices, Response, GDP, Index, E31, Cabinet of Germany, Holiday, Machine learning, Series, Green, Whisky, Vegetable, Cola, Journal of Econometrics, Sadik Harchaoui, University, Aggregate, World Bank Group, B.1, Use, Book, Economic statistics, Civil service commission, 1L, Apple, Bread, Filter, Central bank, Brandeis University, Economic Modelling, Bank, Barkan, Roulade, Dairy product, Neural network, Reproduction, IMF, Section, ID, Data, D4L, Cryptocurrency

Key Points: 

    Environics Analytics Names Anil Arora Special Innovator of the Year

    Retrieved on: 
    Mercredi, novembre 8, 2023

    TORONTO, Nov. 08, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Environics Analytics (EA) today announced that Anil Arora, the Chief Statistician of Canada at Statistics Canada, is the recipient of its 2023 Special Innovator of the Year award.

    Key Points: 
    • TORONTO, Nov. 08, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Environics Analytics (EA) today announced that Anil Arora, the Chief Statistician of Canada at Statistics Canada, is the recipient of its 2023 Special Innovator of the Year award.
    • His willingness to collaborate with private sector organizations has enabled businesses across the country to become more data-driven," said Jan Kestle, President of Environics Analytics.
    • The Special Innovator of the Year award was presented at the Environics Analytics 17th Annual User Conference, an in-person event that attracted over 900 participants representing every industry sector.
    • For more information on products and services from Environics Analytics, please visit www.environicsanalytics.com .

    Government of Canada extends Chief Statistician of Canada's term

    Retrieved on: 
    Mercredi, juin 14, 2023

    Mr. Arora was first appointed Chief Statistician of Canada in September 2016, with his term renewed in June 2018 for another five years.

    Key Points: 
    • Mr. Arora was first appointed Chief Statistician of Canada in September 2016, with his term renewed in June 2018 for another five years.
    • Mr. Arora will continue in this role until the end of March 2024, to enable the Government of Canada to identify and appoint a new Chief Statistician of Canada and support a seamless transition.
    • – The Honourable François-Philippe Champagne, Minister of Innovation, Science and Industry
      "I am pleased to continue to serve as the Chief Statistician of Canada until March 2024, marking more than 35 years of public service.
    • The Statistics Act was amended in 2017 to give the Chief Statistician of Canada authority for decisions on statistical matters and to increase government transparency.

    Ipsos appoints Michael Link as EVP of Methodology and Chief Research Officer

    Retrieved on: 
    Mardi, octobre 4, 2022

    NEW YORK, Oct. 4, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Ipsos, one of the largest market research and polling companies globally, today announced that industry veteran Michael Link has joined its US Public Affairs group as Executive Vice President of Methodology and Chief Research Officer.

    Key Points: 
    • NEW YORK, Oct. 4, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Ipsos, one of the largest market research and polling companies globally, today announced that industry veteran Michael Link has joined its US Public Affairs group as Executive Vice President of Methodology and Chief Research Officer.
    • "Link will bring deep industry relationships and outstanding research expertise to Ipsos, along with the vision to spark new conversations and open new doors," said Clifford Young, President of Ipsos US Public Affairs.
    • In his new role, Link will oversee key initiatives and accelerate theintegration of diverse data sources across its research functions.
    • Ipsos is one of the largest market research and polling companies globally, operating in 90 markets and employing over 18,000 people.

    Scotland-Based Smart Data Foundry Wins United Nations Synthetic Data Challenge

    Retrieved on: 
    Mardi, mars 8, 2022

    Smart Data Foundry data science team members Paola Arce, Victor Alfonzo Diaz and Euan Gardner represented the organization under its previous Global Open Finance Centre of Excellence name.

    Key Points: 
    • Smart Data Foundry data science team members Paola Arce, Victor Alfonzo Diaz and Euan Gardner represented the organization under its previous Global Open Finance Centre of Excellence name.
    • The week-long synthetic data challenge was put into place to help shape the HLG-MOS's Synthetic Data for National Statistical Offices: A Starter Guide, being published by the UNECE later in 2022.
    • Smart Data Foundry is part of the University of Edinburgh and a collaboration with the Financial Data and Technology Association (FDATA) and FinTech Scotland.
    • "The Smart Data Foundry team, assisted by our own data scientists, were able to quickly turn in a winning performance, which is a testament to both GEMINAI's capabilities and the Smart Data Foundry's ambition."

    Outlook on the Magnesite Global Market to 2025 - Updated with the Impact of COVID-19 - ResearchAndMarkets.com

    Retrieved on: 
    Lundi, mai 31, 2021

    Update: COVID-19 Impact" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.

    Key Points: 
    • Update: COVID-19 Impact" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.
    • This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global magnesite market.
    • Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports).
    • Worldwide - the report contains statistical data for 200 countries and includes detailed profiles of the 50 largest consuming countries.

    Worldwide Electric Accumulators Industry to 2025 - Key Market Players and Their Profiles - ResearchAndMarkets.com

    Retrieved on: 
    Lundi, mars 22, 2021

    The "World - Electric Accumulators - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights.

    Key Points: 
    • The "World - Electric Accumulators - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights.
    • Update: COVID-19 Impact" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering
      This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global accumulator market.
    • Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports).
    • Worldwide - the report contains statistical data for 200 countries and includes detailed profiles of the 50 largest consuming countries.

    Euro area and national quarterly financial accounts – 2019 quality report

    Retrieved on: 
    Samedi, mai 16, 2020

    Executive summary This annual report provides a quality review of the quarterly euro area and national financial accounts.

    Key Points: 

    Executive summary

      • This annual report provides a quality review of the quarterly euro area and national financial accounts.
      • [1] The report fulfils the formal requirement for the Executive Board of the European Central Bank (ECB) to inform its Governing Council of the quality of these statistics, as set out in Article 7(2) of Guideline ECB/2013/24[2] (hereinafter the ECB Guideline).
      • The main principles and elements guiding the production of ECB statistics are set out in the ECB Statistics Quality Framework (SQF)[3] and quality assurance procedures, which are published on the ECBs website.
      • ), monetary financial institutions (MFI) balance sheet items, and securities issues statistics.
      • The descriptive and quantitative indicators used throughout this report are based on quarterly data that are available in line with the European System of Accounts (ESA 2010).
      • Supporting information tables and details of how the indicators are computed can be found in Annex 1 and Annex 2, respectively.

    Statistical developments between 2018 and 2019

    • Within the European System of Central Banks (ESCB) the Working Group on Financial Accounts (WG FA) and the Working Group on External Statistics (WG ES), along with other sub-structures of the Statistics Committee (STC), e.g. the Working Group on Monetary and Financial Statistics (WG MFS), are working closely together on the following common issues:
      • securities held with non-resident custodians that are not covered by national securities holdings statistics;
      • coverage of the other financial institutions (OFI) sector and, in particular, the timely coverage of special-purpose entities (SPEs), given the lack of primary statistics;
      • coverage of financial derivatives for all sectors, owing to missing data sources and/or counterpart sector details.
    • In addition to the collaborative work listed above, the WG ES and WG FA established a joint group on the valuation of unlisted shares and other equity in January 2020.In the third quarter of 2019 13 euro area countries implemented benchmark revisions in financial accounts data, to enhance a common European revision policy in accordance with the recommendations of the 2017 final reports of the Directors of Macroeconomic Statistics (DMES) Task Force on Benchmark Revision Policy[4], and the Task Force of the Committee on Monetary, Financial and Balance of Payments Statistics (CMFB) on Harmonised Revision Policy[5]. Three euro area countries already implemented benchmark revisions in 2017 or 2018, and another will do so in 2020. These revisions mainly sought to:
      • introduce new data sources;
      • improve existing data sources and estimation methods;
      • better align with b.o.p./i.i.p. and government sector data;
      • incorporate improvements resulting from the GNI statistical verification process.
      • Countries provided quarterly supplementary data at t+85 and full national financial accounts data and metadata at t+97, as required by the ECB Guideline.
      • The provision of the mandatory metadata by all countries, in all full national transmissions, is an improvement compared with results in 2018.
      • Voluntary transmission of metadata by countries that do not usually exceed the thresholds set by the ECB Guideline is encouraged; this also applies to the supplementary transmission.
      • In terms of methodological soundness, the national financial accounts are generally consistent with the requirements and conceptual framework of the ESA 2010.
      • In such cases source data are supplemented with estimations or residual calculations, in order to ensure that the accounts are complete.
      • Financial accounts data are, therefore, not necessarily the same as other datasets, and differences must be monitored and explained to users.
      • The ECB encourages financial accounts colleagues to interact with their counterparts to reduce structural discrepancies and/or to reconcile differences between the datasets.
      • A new breakdown of the MFI sector data into the categories central bank subsector and other MFIs was published for the euro area and euro area countries in 2019.

    Statistical issues affecting MIP indicators

      • The ECB, in collaboration with Eurostat, has continued to monitor specific quality aspects of the statistical outputs, as required under the MoU.
      • Given that the financial accounts are an integrated statistical accounting framework, most of the issues mentioned in the report are also relevant for assessing the quality of the data for MIP purposes.
      • Furthermore, there are certain issues which affect the MIP data directly.
      • One area where the compilation of the financial accounts data underlying the MIP indicators is particularly affected by limited data sources is the coverage of financial sector liabilities, in particular for SPEs and, more generally, OFIs, for which there are usually no timely and comprehensive source statistics available.
      • Countries are encouraged to ensure that quarterly and annual data are consistent, in particular for data vintages used for MIP purposes in October of each year.
      • For MIP purposes the focus is on data for the last ten complete years.
      • For more information on assessing data quality for MIP purposes, please see the MIP box at the end of the main body of this report.

    1 Introduction

      • This annual report provides a quality review of the quarterly euro area national financial accounts.
      • [6] It fulfils the formal requirement obliging the ECB Executive Board to inform the Governing Council of the quality of these statistics, as set out in Article7(2) of the ECB Guideline.
      • [7] Furthermore, the report is intended to provide information supporting the MIP data quality assurance as laid down in the MoU.
      • The report follows the recommendations adopted by the CMFB with regard to the harmonisation of the level 2 quality report for b.o.p./i.i.p.
      • [8] The focus of the report is on national data for 19 euro area countries and euro area aggregates.

    1.1 Scope of data coverage and structure of the report

      • This report analyses a number of aspects by which data quality can be measured.
      • The analysis focuses on the quarterly financial accounts data transmitted and published in 2019.
      • The dataset available as of 29October 2019 was used throughout the report and, the main body of the report only addresses the quality of data for the 19 countries of the euro area.
      • Given the specificities of the MIP process, some indicators on the fitness for purpose of the data are presented in a box at the end of the report for all European Union Member States.
      • The box draws on data up to end-2018 as transmitted in October 2019 and revisions up to end-2017 and focuses on (i) data availability, (ii) revisions, (iii) consistency with nonfinancial sector accounts and sources and methods relevant for the financial accounts data underlying the MIP indicators, i.e.
      • All indicators presented in the MIP box relate to the national GDP or outstanding amounts and are intended to facilitate the analysis relating to the actual MIP scoreboard indicators.

    2 Methodological soundness and statistical procedures

      • However, the financial account statistics are derived statistics that rely on a wide range of data sources, which are not necessarily complete or sufficient in terms of conceptual requirements.
      • In such cases source data are supplemented with estimations or residual calculations in order to ensure the accounts are complete.
      • An overview of the known methodological issues and coverage gaps is provided in Table 1 in the Executive summary.
      • The WG FA has agreed on a work plan to share best practices and develop guidance for these issues by 2019/2020.

    2.1 Assets held abroad

      • The WG FA, in cooperation with the WG ES, continued the work on estimating the value of households assets held abroad, and broadly agreed on recommendation regarding the further development and use of data sources.
      • Deposits with non-resident banks and securities held with non-resident custodians, as well as real estate owned in other countries were identified as the main issues.
      • For a complete coverage of deposits held by households with non-resident banks, balance sheet statistics from other euro area countries and the BIS Locational Banking Statistics are valuable sources.
      • For securities held with non-resident custodians, the national Securities Holding Statistics (SHS) should be complemented with data on residents securities holdings with custodians in other euro area countries and custodians outside the euro area.

    2.2 Coverage of other financial institutions

      • The WG FA has continued to share information on ways of ensuring the comprehensive and timely coverage of OFIs.
      • Cross-checking with business registers or the use of other methods to ensure full coverage should be improved in Germany.
      • The Netherlands has already a high coverage and work is ongoing to complete coverage.
      • Another common issue is the availability of timely quarterly data sources for OFIs that are suitable for compiling the financial accounts.
      • Germany, Italy and Portugal are encouraged to improve their quarterly direct data sources; in France, Malta and Slovakia this recommendation is only relevant for the captive financial institutions subsector (S.127).
      • When quarterly data coverage is not complete for certain OFI sub-sectors, groups of entities or instruments, full coverage may be achieved by estimating or grossing-up the missing data using information obtained from existing annual data sources.

    2.3 Financial derivatives

      • It is particularly difficult to achieve coverage of financial derivatives for sectors not covered by direct statistical reporting requirements, i.e.
      • Financial accountants therefore generally rely on counterpart sector information, which may not provide sufficient information.
      • In October 2018, a joint WG FA-WG ES Task Force on Financial Derivatives was formed with a mandate to issue recommendations on data sources and data collection and compilation methods.

    2.4 Unlisted shares and other equity

      • Data sources for unlisted shares and other equity are incomplete in many countries, as corporate balance sheet databases may not fully cover privately-held corporations or quasi-corporations.
      • Even when corporate balance sheet data are available, it is difficult to value unlisted shares and other equity in the absence of comparable corporations issuing listed shares.
      • In 2019 the WG FA undertook a stocktaking exercise and prioritised work streams on data sources, market value estimation, derivation of transactions and other changes, as well as on the distinction between unlisted shares and other equity.

    2.5 Intra-non-financial corporation loans

      • Most countries lack a comprehensive and timely quarterly data source for loans between resident non-financial corporations (NFCs).
      • Countries typically combine annual information from corporate balance sheet databases and business registers with more timely survey data and quarterly estimates, and the WG FA developed guidance for the comprehensive coverage of intra-NFC loans in 2011-12.
      • Several countries do not have a fully comprehensive direct data source or access to business registers facilitating the grossing-up procedures needed to achieve full coverage of intra-NFC loans.

    2.6 Sector classification of head offices, holding companies purpose entities

      • ESA 2010 introduced a change to the sector classification of head offices, holding companies and SPEs, which also affects the sector- delineation of the financial and non-financial corporation sector.
      • The WG FA agreed that in the context of the breakdown of OFIs by ESA sector, proposed as part of the medium-term strategy for financial accounts, further guidance is needed to ensure the harmonised recording of the head offices, holding companies and SPEs.
      • A joint note for captive financial institutions and money lenders (S.127) and SPEs was launched in November 2019 by the STC working groups WG MFS, WG FA and WG ES; this work will continue in cooperation with the OECD and the IMF During the benchmark revision in 2019, Spain implemented improvements in the classification of the SPEs issuing securities, and of holding companies.

    3 Timeliness and punctuality

      • All euro area countries transmitted the supplementary data and the full set of national data by the respective deadlines.
      • Table 2 shows the dates of the financial accounts transmissions and data releases.
      • Table 2 Transmission and release dates in 2018 and 2019 for euro area aggregates and country data

    4 Data and metadata availability

      4.1 Completeness

        • In the full national accounts data transmission for Q4 2018 (t+97), Ireland did not transmit the data by the deadline due to technical issues.
        • The provision of metadata covering revisions and major events governed by the Guideline was good and improved further in 2019 in comparison with 2018.
        • All countries regularly delivered metadata on revisions and major events, although Ireland was late transmitting the metadata for Q4 2018.
        • Ireland started to provide the metadata related to revisions with the Q2 2019 data transmission.

      4.2 Accessibility

        • Accessibility refers to the conditions by which users can obtain, use and interpret data.
        • This ultimately reflects how straightforward it is to access the data and the extent to which confidentiality constraints do not allow certain data to be shared.
        • The ECB publishes euro area aggregates for transactions, outstanding amounts and revaluations for all euro area aggregates.
        • With regard to counterpart sector details, information is published on transactions and outstanding amounts for deposits, loans, debt securities, listed shares and investment fund shares.
        • Revaluations are published for the holdings of listed shares and debt securities of the main resident sectors.
        • These include all transactions and outstanding amounts, revaluations for listed shares and debt securities, as well as domestic counterpart sector details.
        • Most euro area countries make the entire datasets publicly available by transmitting and publishing them to the ECBs Statistical Data Warehouse.
        • Ireland releases only 79% the required counterpart sector details for securities this is a deterioration compared with last years report.
        • In addition, the accessibility of the core data set has decreased to 92% compared with the last years report (from 98%).
        • source data.
        • A new breakdown of the MFI sector into the central bank subsector and other MFIs was published for the euro area and the countries in 2019, improving the accessibility of additional financial accounts data to the users.

      4.3 Clarity

        • Clarity refers to the information environment of the data, i.e.
        • The availability of background information on sources and methods considerably enhances the usability and clarity of the data.
        • The ECB publishes two press releases per quarter, outlining the latest data and relevant economic developments, on the ECBs website.
        • The dissemination dates for all press releases are announced at the beginning of each calendar year in the ECBs statistical calendars.
        • The ECB has a Statistical Information Request facility for external statistics users which helps them access and analyse the data.
        • A sub-set of the statistics produced under the ECB Guideline[11] can also be accessed via the euro area statistics website.
        • The CMFB website's section on quality assurance of statistics underlying the MIP Scoreboard provides links to the reports from all EU countries.

      5 Accuracy and reliability

      • In this report, revisions for all euro area countries and for the euro area as a whole are assessed using indicators based on a comparison between the initial and the final assessment. Two basic types of indicators are used (more detailed information on revision indicators is available in Annex 1).
        1. Relative size indicators measure the absolute differences between the first and the most recent data vintages. The absolute differences may be quantified relative to the underlying series when strictly positive or, otherwise, to a reference series such as GDP or underlying outstanding amounts. These indicators are the symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE) and mean absolute revisions shown as a percentage of GDP. In the case of transactions, revisions cannot be properly related to the series value itself because the observations may have different signs or the value of the series may often be close to zero. Therefore, absolute revisions in transactions are related to the underlying outstanding amounts or to an individual country’s GDP.
        2. Directional stability and reliability indicators measure how frequently initial assessments are revised in the same direction and whether the direction of change indicated by the initial assessment has correctly predicted the direction of change in the most recent data vintage.
        • In general, revisions are needed to improve the accuracy of the data, as an initial assessment may be based on incomplete, late or erroneous responses from reporting agents.
        • However, large recurrent revisions may indicate that the data collection and/or compilation process is of comparatively low quality a situation which needs to be addressed.
        • The revision indicators are shown for euro area aggregates and country data.
        • Detailed tables containing SMAPE, upward revisions and directional reliability indicators for the euro area aggregates and all EU countries are available, for information purposes, in Annex 1.
        • When comparing revisions of country data and euro area aggregates, due consideration should be given to the fact that offsetting revisions in country data may imply lower revisions at euro area level.

      5.1 Household financial investment and loan financing

        • Revisions to household financial investment were more pronounced than revisions to households loan financing in all euro area countries, except in Belgium, Ireland, Greece, the Netherlands, Austria and Finland, as can be seen in Chart 1.
        • Euro area household financial investment (transactions) recorded revisions that are lower than the median for revisions of euro area countries.
        • Cyprus, Latvia, Luxembourg, Malta and Slovenia revised household financial investment data more extensively than other countries, mainly in order to include additional or improved data sources and estimations, to reduce vertical discrepancies, or to ensure consistency between rest of the world (RoW), and b.o.p./i.i.p.
        • Euro area household loan financing (transactions) recorded a lower level of revisions compared with the euro area countries median and directional reliability of 100%.
        • Malta and Luxembourg recorded a higher level of revisions of households loan financing compared with other euro area countries mainly due to revisions in data sources the median of all euro area countries for the reference period was 0.02%.
        • Chart 1 Revision to household financial investment and loan financing (transactions) (symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE), Q2 2017-Q1 2019)

      5.2 NFC financing

        • Of the components of NFC financing, the net issuance of debt securities was revised more than loan financing in eight euro area countries, as can be seen in Chart 2.
        • Directional reliability was 100% for debt securities and 88% for loan financing.
        • Luxembourg and Finland recorded higher revisions to NFC loan financing than the other euro area countries, while the directional reliability indicator was below 70% in Finland.
        • Chart 2 Revisions to NFC financing (transactions) (symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE), Q2 2017-Q1 2018)

      5.3 Financial corporation liabilities

        • With regard to revisions to financial corporation (FC) liabilities (stocks), the euro area as a whole recorded revisions of 0.8% of the underlying stocks during the period observed, which is higher than the 0.4% median for the euro area countries, as a large number of countries recorded lower than average revisions (see Chart 3).
        • Directional reliability for euro area FC liabilities stood at 100%.
        • Revisions for FC liabilities were exceptionally high for Cyprus, due to the significant increase in the SPE coverage following the improvements implemented in the benchmark revision in September 2019, and above 1% in Estonia, Greece, Luxembourg, Malta and the Netherlands.
        • Revisions were higher overall for total FC liabilities and OFI liabilities than the data reported for most countries in the previous Quality Report in June 2019.
        • Revisions to OFI liabilities were high in about half of the euro countries (see Chart 3) and were therefore a main driver of revisions to overall FC liabilities.
        • Chart 3 Revisions to financial corporation liabilities (stocks) (symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE), Q2 2017-Q1 2019)


        Detailed tables containing SMAPE, upward revisions, directional reliability indicators and mean absolute revisions as a percentage of GDP for all EU countries are available in Annex 1.

      6 Internal consistency

        • Internal consistency refers to accounting identities and to hierarchical relationships between aggregates and components.
        • [12] This includes horizontal consistency, which is defined as equality between the sum of (transactions in) financial assets and the sum of (transactions in) liabilities for each financial instrument (i.e.
        • The euro area accounts are not a simple aggregation of the national data, as they need to be combined with other euro area statistics (in particular euro area b.o.p., i.i.p.
        • Horizontal consistency is not generally maintained when all these components are put together, owing to discrepancies across data sources.
        • The apparent horizontal imbalances (before data sources are reconciled) in the euro area financial accounts continued to be significant.
        • Table 4 shows the euro area horizontal imbalances resulting from the combination of the various data sources, i.e.
        • Table 4 Internal consistency of input data for the euro area accounts by financial instrument Horizontal imbalances (root mean squared error (RMSE); EUR billions)
        • The inconsistencies averaged out over time for all instruments except financial derivatives, and to a smaller extend shares and other equity.
        • the country datasets after balancing by national compilers) are internally consistent, except for minor issues that do not affect the main indicators.
        • [14] Some internal inconsistencies remain related to aggregation checks for Ireland, mostly for other changes in volume and Slovakia for loans and equity transactions[15] (see Annex 1 Table 1.2.1).
        • Ireland reported a number of who-to-whom series with negative stock (balance sheet) data for deposits (two) and loans (five).
        • Estonia reported one other equity series with negative values in line with the data recorded in external statistics (i.i.p.).
        • statistics as the data are affected by recording of negative equity related to foreign branches of domestic companies.
        • This issue may be tackled by the joint WG FA and WG ES virtual group on unlisted shares and other equity.

      7 External consistency/coherence

        7.1 Coherence with non-financial sector accounts: verbal consistency

          • The ECB, in cooperation with Eurostat, produces integrated financial and non-financial accounts which are published as the quarterly euro area accounts.
          • It also enhances vertical reconciliation (equal balances for financial and non-financial accounts), both within euro area institutional sectors and with regard to the RoW.
          • Vertical imbalances arise because different data sources are used for the compilation of the financial and the non-financial accounts.
          • The discrepancy for the RoW is closely related to the net errors and omissions stemming from the b.o.p.
          • All countries, however, are seeking to reduce the sources for discrepancies, by improving source data and balancing processes.
          • For countries with a GDP of below 1% of the EU total, the transmission of quarterly non-financial sector accounts is not mandatory for resident sectors other than government.
          • The vertical consistency of quarterly data cannot, therefore, be assessed for Estonia, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta and Slovakia, while Slovenia provides quarterly data on a voluntary basis.
          • In France the reconciliation exercise is conducted once a year, as balance sheet data are revised on an annual basis.
          • In many countries vertical discrepancies tend to largely offset each other over time and, as a result, the four-quarter averages are low in most countries.
          • Discrepancies relative to country GDP for 2018 were particularly high for Greece and Finland.
          • Chart 4.1.b displays the cumulative vertical discrepancies for household sectors in relation to GDP.
          • The euro area households sector displays a very small negative bias.
          • Countries with high absolute discrepancies also exhibit persistent biases in the accounts: a negative bias is shown for Greece and Finland.
          • Chart 4.1b Bias in vertical discrepancies, households (cumulated vertical discrepancies relative to GDP, percentages)
          • For NFCs the differences between the financial and the non-financial accounts for the euro area remain low in 2018 (0.2% of GDP) (see Chart 4.2.a).
          • For some countries, the discrepancies were significantly greater, partly because the NFC sector is generally not reconciled (see Chart 4.2.a).
          • Germany), this sector has been chosen to offset the net errors and omissions stemming from the b.o.p.
          • There have been significant continuous improvements in previous years in Ireland which has a large NFC sector relative to GDP, owing to the presence of large multinational corporations and Greece.
          • In Ireland this mirrors a similar improvement in the household sector.
          • Discrepancies relative to country GDP for 2018 were particularly high for Greece and Finland.


          The euro area NFC sector displays a small positive bias (see Chart 4.2.b). Ireland displays a negative bias in the most recent period, while Greece and Finland show a positive bias for all periods. Chart 4.2b Bias in vertical discrepancies, non-financial corporations (cumulated vertical discrepancies relative to GDP, percentages)

          • The euro area FC sector is fully reconciled (see Chart 4.3.a).
          • For this sector, data availability is typically better than it is for the non-financial sectors, and many countries usually achieve consistency.
          • Discrepancies relative to country GDP for 2018 were relatively high for Ireland, Greece and Finland.
          • In the case of Ireland the discrepancies are on decreasing trend in the last years, and are relatively small compared with the size of the financial sector.


          Ireland, Greece and Finland exhibit a positive bias in the most recent period (see Chart 4.3.b). Chart 4.3b Bias in vertical discrepancies, financial corporations (cumulated vertical discrepancies relative to GDP, percentages)

        7.2 Consistency with balance of payments and international investment position statistics

          • and i.i.p.
          • The methodological differences between the b.o.p./i.i.p.
          • and the RoW account (national accounts) were removed with the introduction of ESA 2010 and the BPM6, albeit some challenges still remain when it comes to interpretation.
          • [16] Analysis showed that inconsistencies between the two statistical domains persisted in many countries, negatively affecting the combined use of the two datasets and their reliability.
          • Acknowledging this, the ESCB worked to precisely identify the differences and to develop national medium-term work plans to be generally observed by September 2019[17].
          • Such issues are tackled in the context of the MIP quality assurance framework.

        7.2.1 Financial transactions

          • and the RoW account for financial transactions.
          • In this case discrepancies may be accounted for by time of recording differences, as well as by the reconciliation of the national sectoral accounts.
          • Both the vertical reconciliation (a correction for errors and omissions) and horizontal reconciliation (asset/liability equality across sectors) may entail larger adjustments to the financial transactions of the RoW account.
          • Nonetheless, as an indicative benchmark, the relative differences should ideally not exceed 0.3% of the average value of the underlying positions.
          • Greece recorded the highest relative discrepancies while the largest absolute differences were observed in Germany (only for liabilities) and France.
          • Chart 5 Financial account transaction discrepancies between the b.o.p and RoW account (average absolute and relative difference (as a percentage of respective b.o.p.
          • and RoW stocks of financial assets/liabilities) for the period Q3 2016 to Q2 2019 (b.o.p.

        7.2.2 Financial positions

          • and the RoW account for financial assets and liabilities (balance sheets/positions).
          • As expected, the differences between the two datasets are larger for positions than for transactions.
          • Relative differences should, as an indicative benchmark, be below 0.5% of the total of the average financial assets/liabilities in the i.i.p.
          • The euro area recorded discrepancies of 4% for both assets and liabilities, similar to last year.
          • These discrepancies arose mostly from differences between the compilation and reconciliation processes for the euro area i.i.p.
          • [18] Other reasons behind the differences also affecting the remaining instrument types include discrepancies in vintages, data sources, estimation methods.
          • Chart 6 Financial account position discrepancies between the i.i.p.
          • and RoW stocks of financial assets/liabilities for the period Q3 2016-to Q2 2019 i.i.p.

        7.3 Comparison with other financial statistics

          • Deviations from other financial statistics may well be justified, as financial accountants may choose to amend the primary data sources in order to align with ESA concepts, or to enrich the data with alternative or supplementary data sources.
          • Furthermore, explaining major differences between the national data and other related statistics provides valuable information for the users of euro area accounts and MIP data.

        7.3.1 Comparison of MFI loans by counterpart sector with MFI balance sheet statistics

          • Conceptual differences arise for MFI loans because MFI balance sheet items (BSI) statistics do not record the accrued interest with the loan.
          • While unilateral write-downs may be recognised in MFI balance sheet statistics, loans are recorded at nominal value in the financial accounts until they have been completely written off.
          • Loans granted by MFIs to general government, as recorded in the financial accounts, may differ from the data in MFI balance sheet statistics because financial accounts compilers use government finance statistics, which are assumed to provide higher-quality identification of the borrowing entities that are classified in the government sector (while reporting MFIs may sometimes misclassify entities such as local utilities).
          • Moreover, the rerouting of loans applied in the financial accounts can lead to differences between BSI and financial accounts statistics, in cases when MFIs grant loans , to the private sector on behalf of government The differences are below 2% of stocks in most countries, although in Germany and Austria the financial accounts data differ by more than 2% due to the different sector allocation of MFI loans.

        7.3.2 Comparison of securities issuance and ECB securities issues statistics

        • Financial accounts are the main input for the following three headline indicators:
          • private sector debt[19], consolidated[20] as a percentage of GDP;
          • private sector credit flow[21], consolidated as a percentage of GDP;
          • financial sector liabilities[22], non-consolidated[23], one-year percentage change (11 years of data necessary).
          • Additionally, financial accounts are used for one auxiliary indicator:
          • household debt (including NPISH) [24], consolidated as a percentage of GDP.
          • Conceptual differences between securities issuance in the financial accounts and the securities issues statistics (SEC) relate to different valuation methods (nominal in SEC, market valuation in the financial accounts) and the recording of transactions received against payments other than cash.
          • The latter can have a significant impact, particularly in the case of share swaps related to mergers and acquisitions.
          • While share swaps are generally recorded in financial accounts as transactions, SEC do not record such transactions.
          • In some EU Member States, securities issued without an International Securities Identification Number (ISIN), which is not generally captured in SEC, are non-negligible.
          • Financial accounts compilers thus supplement the SEC for non-ISIN securities with additional information.
          • These methodological differences and the supplementation of securities issuance data with additional information may explain why the financial accounts values for stocks are mostly higher than the SEC values (see Annex 1, Table 1.5.1).
          • Together, these indicators provide analytical evidence of possible vulnerabilities and risks that would require further investigation at country level.
          • The following sections assess the fitness for purpose of financial accounts data used for the MIP analysing the data vintage used in the 2019 Alert Mechanism Report.
          • Institutional setup Quarterly financial accounts are transmitted to the ECB on the basis of Guideline ECB/2013/24[25], with non-euro area EU Member States providing the data on a voluntary basis.
          • In most cases the annual and quarterly financial accounts are derived from a single compilation system.
          • The MoU specifies that Eurostat and the ECBs Directorate General Statistics (DG-S) should regularly conduct assessments of the quality of national datasets.
          • Finally, a joint Eurostat/ECB summary report assessing the quality of all statistics underpinning the MIP (Level 1) is published each year on the CMFB's website.
          • Whereas the bank is included in the financial sector in the quarterly financial accounts and other financial statistics, it is classified in the general government sector in the annual financial accounts and other statistics transmitted to Eurostat.
          • In its opinion of 17 July 2017 the CMFB advised that Eximbank should be classified in the general government sector.
          • High and persistent differences signal quality issues in the financial and/or the nonfinancial accounts.


          MIP Chart B Vertical discrepancies, non-financial corporations (absolute vertical discrepancies relative to GDP, percentages)
          For the NFC sector, vertical discrepancies for 2018 were above 2% of GDP in Czech Republic, Greece, Poland and Finland (see MIP Chart B). MIP Chart C Vertical discrepancies, financial corporations (absolute vertical discrepancies relative to GDP, percentages)

          • In several EU countries work to ensure good alignment between financial and non-financial accounts is being carried out, and regular meetings are being held between the compilers.
          • At European level, the issue is addressed in the relevant working fora (WG FA, Expert Group on Sector Accounts), with the objective of developing first common recommendations by end-2020.
          • and RoW account (national accounts) were removed with the introduction of ESA 2010 and BPM6.
          • The CMFB has endorsed a medium-term work plan designed to eliminate most discrepancies by September 2019.
          • The remaining discrepancies will be analysed in depth by ECB and Eurostat, and the most relevant outstanding differences will be addressed.
          • and RoW account total more than 10% of GDP in cases of France (assets only), Malta and Croatia (assets only).

        Euro area and national balance of payments and international investment position statistics - 2019 quality report

        Retrieved on: 
        Samedi, mai 16, 2020

        Executive summary This annual report provides a quality review of the national balance of payments (b.o.p.

        Key Points: 

        Executive summary

          • This annual report provides a quality review of the national balance of payments (b.o.p.
          • and international reserves template of the Eurosystem (international reserves), as well as the associated euro area aggregates.
          • [1] The report fulfils the formal requirement for the Executive Board of the European Central Bank (ECB) to inform its Governing Council of the quality of these statistics, as set out in Article6(1) of Guideline ECB/2011/23 (hereinafter the ECB Guideline).
          • The main principles and elements guiding the production of ECB statistics are set out in the ECB Statistics Quality Framework (SQF)[3] and quality assurance procedures, which are published on the ECBs website.
          • Supporting tables/charts and details of how the indicators are computed can be found in the respective annexes to this report.
          • The box draws on annual data up to 2018 and revisions up to 2017 and focuses on the following quality dimensions: (i)data availability; (ii)revisions; (iii)errors and omissions; and (iv)external consistency with sector accounts.

        Statistical developments between 2018 and 2019

        • Within the European System of Central Banks (ESCB), Working Groups on Financial Accounts (WG FA) and the Working Group on External Statistics (WG ES), along with other sub-structures of the Statistics Committee (STC), e.g. the Working Group on Monetary and Financial Statistics (WG MFS), are working closely together on the following common issues:
          • securities held with non-resident custodians that are not covered by national securities holdings statistics;
          • coverage of the other financial institutions (OFI) sector and, in particular, the timely coverage of SPEs, given the lack of primary statistics;
          • coverage of financial derivatives for all sectors, owing to missing data sources and/or counterpart sector details.
          • In addition to the collaborative work listed above, the WG ES and WG FA established a joint group on the valuation of unlisted shares and other equity in January 2020.
          • This has enabled national compilers (national central banks (NCBs) and national statistical institutes (NSIs)) to both report relevant data and make them publicly available with sufficient accuracy and within the agreed deadlines.
          • Nevertheless, some additional efforts are still needed to disseminate more quality data and improve comparability and consistency with other datasets.
          • While statistical standards are generally observed, there is still room for improvement in terms of methodological soundness.
          • Luxembourg, the Netherlands and Malta[4] are encouraged to continue working to increase the coverage and quality of data on special purpose entities (SPEs).
          • While major progress was observed in 2019, Cyprus is still invited to closely monitor the SPE sector and continue improving the counterpart geographical detail.
          • Furthermore, national compilers should in general continue their efforts to improve the coverage of assets held abroad by resident households.
          • The majority of countries have complied on a continuous basis with the deadlines for data transmission, with a few exceptions.
          • benchmark revisions in 2019, which supported the alignment of national accounts (ESA2010) with b.o.p./i.i.p.
          • data.
          • data are in line with other datasets, thus ensuring comparability across statistical domains.

        Statistical issues affecting MIP indicators

          • The ECB, in collaboration with Eurostat, has continued to monitor specific quality aspects of the statistical outputs, as required under the MoU.
          • In fact, some of the quality dimensions addressed in the report are also relevant for assessing the quality of data for MIP purposes (e.g.methodological issues A1 to A10, C3, F1 and G1 in Table1).
          • Some recommendations, such as those related to the functional classification (e.g.A5.1 to A5.3) or to the reconciliation of stocks and flows (C1), do not impact the computation of the main MIP indicators, but do play a role in the calculation and analysis of auxiliary indicators.
          • However, the particularities of the annual data and of the MIP process, as well as the scope of the ECBs responsibilities in the context of the MoU on the MIP (for those EU28 Member States that have designated the respective NCB to produce the b.o.p./i.i.p.
          • In particular, longer time series (up to 15years) are necessary for an accurate construction and analysis of the main MIP scoreboard indicators.
          • All necessary data are available for the calculation of the main indicators (with a few exceptions for the goods and services balance).
          • Despite this, the situation has improved compared to the previous quality report, in part due to the benchmark revisions.
          • For more information on the assessment of data quality for MIP purposes, please see the MIP box at the end of the main body of the report.

        1 Introduction

          • This annual report provides a quality review of statistics on the balance of payments (b.o.p.
          • ), international investment position (i.i.p.)
          • and international reserves template of the Eurosystem (international reserves).
          • [9] Furthermore, the report provides information supporting the MIP data quality assurance process, as laid down in the MoU.
          • The data for EU Member States (EU28) are commented on in the MIP box at the end of the report and are also available in the annexed tables[10].

        Scope of data coverage and structure of the report

          • This report analyses a number of aspects by which data quality can be measured.
          • The analysis covers quarterly and, in the case of euro area aggregates, monthly data.
          • Section3 (timeliness and punctuality), Section 4 (data and metadata availability) and Section 6.1 (validation/integrity rules) focus on one year of observations (July 2018/Q3 2018 to June 2019/Q2 2019).
          • The last data vintage used throughout the report is the one available as of 23October 2019 and the country coverage is mostly the euro area, although the annexed tables provide information on the quality of the data for the EU28.
          • The box draws on annual data up to 2018 and focuses on: (i)data availability, (ii)revisions; (iii)errors and omissions; and (iv)external consistency with sector accounts, i.e.MIP-relevant data quality dimensions.

        2 Methodological soundness and statistical procedures

          • Methodological soundness means that concepts and definitions used to compile b.o.p./i.i.p.
          • statistics broadly conform with the principles and guidelines outlined in BPM6 and take into consideration the agreements of the STC (and respective sub-structures) on the compilation of euro area aggregates.
          • One of the key elements of compiling consistent data is to adhere to the agreed standards and to transparently describe deviations.
          • A detailed description of the data sources and compilation methods used by all Member States is available on the ECBs website[11].
          • The assessment included in this section is based on this ECB publication, as well as on the regular ECB contacts with national compilers regarding general data quality issues.
          • [12] This quality report provides a succinct overview of the methodological soundness of b.o.p.

        2.1 Residency

          • The residency of institutional units should be defined in conformity with BPM6, particularly taking into account whether they have a predominant centre of economic interest in the country.
          • This applies in particular to Special Purpose Entities (SPEs), which are considered to be resident in the economy where they are incorporated.
          • Most countries correctly apply the residency concept.
          • In the euro area, several countries host a large population of SPEs and therefore face certain challenges in achieving full coverage, and sometimes even in defining the residency of a certain entity.
          • [13] The 2018 revisions in the geographical allocation of positions for Malta introduced a series break in Q1 2016 that has not yet been solved.
          • However, some limitations still apply to the geographical details, especially for debt instruments in FDI and other investment transactions and positions.
          • The Netherlands has also improved the accuracy of SPE data compared with 2018 through its efforts to integrate the compilation of b.o.p.

        2.2 Functional classification

          • Regarding foreign direct investment (FDI), a number of countries, including Germany, Greece, France, Luxembourg and the Netherlands, classify transactions and related positions in debt securities between companies in a direct investment relationship as portfolio investment.
          • This deviation creates internal inconsistencies at the euro area level, owing particularly to the residual approach used to calculate euro area portfolio investment liabilities.
          • In the context of the implementation of the ECB Guideline, these misclassifications will become more transparent.
          • Therefore the compiler should assess the potential relevance of the issue and implement a plan to address it.
          • Malta includes most of the securities assets of the SPEs under portfolio investment, as no information is available regarding the relationship with the debtor.
          • Moreover, Belgium, Germany, Estonia[15], France, Cyprus, Lithuania[16], Austria, Slovenia, Slovakia[17] and Finland do not identify reverse direct investment in equity, and Malta shows negative values for liability positions.

        2.3 Coverage

          • According to public metadata, Cyprus[18] and Luxembourg do not currently estimate employee stock options.
          • Germany should improve the data quality for transactions in financial derivatives for the government sector, as they are currently reported as zero, while positions are non-negligible.
          • In addition, France does not record any transactions and positions in financial derivatives by the government sector.
          • Irish financial derivatives data is quite implausible for investment funds as most of the changes in stocks are reported as other volume changes.
          • In April 2015, the STC approved a new treatment for the recording of transactions and positions in euro currency in b.o.p./i.i.p.
          • Finland[22] does not report insurance, pension schemes and standardised guarantee schemes before reference periods 2016 Q1 on the asset side.
          • Furthermore, Malta does not report the breakdown of equity (into listed and unlisted shares, other equity and investment fund shares).
          • [25] Many countries also have difficulties in accounting for real estate holdings, in particular those of resident households abroad.
          • The valuation of unlisted shares and other equity should also in general be improved and be carried out in a harmonised way.
          • For this purpose a joint WG ES and WG FA[26] group on unlisted shares and other equity was established in January 2020.

        2.4 Other methodological issues

          • data prevent the ECB from validating the figures reported for net external debt.
          • Only the Maltese net external debt total is available and not its representation by sector, instrument and original maturity.
          • The quality of the monthly Irish data frequently has a negative impact on the quality of euro area aggregates for goods.
          • France and the Netherlands systematically report zero monthly transactions in assets for money market funds (MMF) shares in their first estimates (intra and extra-euro area).
          • In Belgium and Finland from 2008 to 2012 the resident banks classified some of the liabilities as loans.

        3 Timeliness and punctuality

        • In addition, the following ad hoc cases of non-compliance were recorded:
          • The Central Bank of Ireland failed to transmit the banknote shipments data for the reference period February 2019 within the production window.
          • The Central Bank of Latvia transmitted the monthly reserve assets data for the reference period August 2018 one day of delay. Attempts were made to transmit data prior to the deadline, but technical issues prevented their timely sending.
          • The Bank of Finland transmitted the complete quarterly balance of payment data for the reference period Q2 2019 three days of delay. Furthermore, several data transmissions were necessary to reach a sufficient level of data quality for the revised periods.
          • Non-compliance is defined with regard to (transmission) timeliness/punctuality and quality standards vis--vis the requirements laid down in the ECB Guideline ECB/2011/23 (as amended).
          • [27] In the period under review (reference period July 2018 to June 2019), a persistent non-compliance case was recorded in the case of the Central Bank of Malta for not reporting the complete quarterly other flows detail and for recording delays in some monthly and quarterly transmissions.

        4 Data and metadata availability

          4.1 Completeness

            • For the reference period July 2018 to June 2019, the production of b.o.p., i.i.p.
            • and international reserves statistics was smooth.
            • In terms of completeness, virtually all countries submitted all the mandatory items, albeit sometimes with delays (thus giving rise to cases of non-compliance see Section3 above).
            • In some cases this created obstacles to the publication of timely and accurate euro area aggregates.

          4.2 Accessibility and clarity

            • Accessibility refers to the conditions by which users can obtain, use and interpret data, ultimately reflecting how straightforward these are to access and the extent to which confidentiality constraints hamper the analytical work.
            • In line with the ECB legal framework on data confidentiality,[28] all national data must be transmitted with a flag indicating its level of confidentiality.
            • The shares are calculated at dataset level for the reference period Q3 2018 to Q2 2019.
            • TableA.1.1 in the Annex shows the same indicator for all (mandatory) items transmitted under the ECB Guideline.
            • Table 2 Average share of observations marked as free for publication per dataset (main items), for the period Q3 2017 to Q2 2018
            • data).
            • It should be noted that the percentages are calculated based on the number of observations, without taking into account the relative importance (magnitude) of the data.
            • datasets were flagged as non-publishable or confidential by Ireland, Cyprus, the Netherlands and Austria (generally on the basis of national dissemination policies).
            • and six euro area countries have done so for the quarterly i.i.p.
            • Clarity refers to the information environment of the data, i.e.whether the data are accompanied by relevant and pertinent metadata, illustrations (such as charts), information on their quality and potential limitations as to their use, and background information (sources and methods).
            • revaluations and other changes in volume for the euro area as a single economic area.
            • book, made available on the ECB website, aims at providing users with an overview of the main features of the b.o.p.
            • Furthermore, the ECB has a Statistical Information Request facility to help external users of statistics access and analyse the data.
            • A subset of the statistics produced under the ECB Guideline can also be accessed via the Euro area statistics website.
            • TableA.1.2 in the Annex presents a summary of the national practices regarding data and metadata accessibility.
            • Most euro area countries publish regular press release updates on their websites: on a monthly and/or quarterly basis.
            • Last but not least, all countries present extensive information on their institutional environment and statistical processes in the B.o.p.

          4.3 Availability of metadata

            • Therefore, national compilers are encouraged to make regular and consistent use of the metadata template in all production cycles and publication means.
            • In general, in the review period, the metadata transmitted by national compilers has been of sufficiently high quality to allow for the production of the euro area aggregates as well as to explain major developments in the aggregate.
            • The ECB welcomes further efforts to improve the accuracy and level of detail in the metadata transmitted to the ECB and also encourages euro national compilers to exchange information with other euro area NCBs within the framework of existing arrangements, for instance in the context of FDI.

          5 Accuracy and reliability (including stability)

            • This section reviews the stability of the data in terms of revisions to the first assessment or first vintage.
            • In general, revisions are necessary to improve the accuracy of the data as first assessments may be based on incomplete, late or erroneous responses by reporting agents.
            • However, large recurrent (biased) revisions may indicate low quality of data sources and/or methods that need to be addressed.
            • Conversely, minimal or no revisions does not necessarily mean that the first assessment was of high quality; it may simply indicate a national preference for not revising the data.
            • Different indicators are applied depending on the features of the time series in question.
            • Directional stability/reliability indicators measure how frequently first assessments are revised in the same direction (the upward revisions ratio and the directional reliability indicator).
            • However, since the last version of this report was published, 19 countries have implemented major national accounts and b.o.p./i.i.p.
            • While increasing the accuracy, generally these revisions have not fundamentally altered the analytical interpretation of the first assessments.

          5.1 Current account

            • In general, revisions to the euro area current account credits and debits were comparable for monthly and quarterly data as can be seen in Chart1 below.
            • The euro area aggregates recorded revisions comparable to the euro area country median (1% for the quarterly current account credits and debits), with the monthly data recording slightly higher revisions.
            • Cyprus[32] and Malta had the highest revisions among euro area countries for current account credits and debits.
            • In terms of current account sub-items, in particular for monthly data, Ireland displayed a higher number of monthly revisions with weaker directional reliability compared with the quarterly data.
            • Concerning revisions to the quarterly current account balance (see Chart2 below), the euro area as a whole recorded comparable revisions to the median of the euro area countries (1%).
            • For the current account balance, the most sizable revisions were recorded by Ireland.
            • Chart2 Revisions to the current account balance (net relative revisions NRR)


            Detailed information on SMAPE, upward revisions and directional reliability indicators is available in Tables A.2.1 to A.6.2 in the Annex.

          5.2 Financial account transactions

            • To overcome the fact that transactions in financial assets and liabilities can be either positive or negative, revisions to financial assets and liabilities are related to the respective i.i.p.
            • MACE is therefore used to assess revisions to the financial account.
            • For the quarterly euro area aggregates, recorded revisions amounted to 0.2% of the underlying positions for total transactions in financial assets and liabilities, which is slightly lower than the median of euro area countries.
            • Revisions to monthly euro area aggregates were considerably higher, as can be seen in Chart3 below.
            • All euro area countries recorded revisions of less than 1% of the underlying positions for quarterly financial transactions.
            • Concerning revisions to net quarterly financial transactions, the euro area as a whole recorded NRR comparable with the median of euro area countries (0.1%), while revisions to the monthly series were substantially higher (across all functional categories).
            • In terms of net financial account transactions for individual countries, Lithuania[36] and Finland recorded the highest level of revisions among euro area countries (see Chart4 below).
            • Chart4 Revisions to net financial account transactions (net relative revisions - NRR)


            Detailed information on MACE, upward revisions and directional reliability indicators is available in Tables A.2.1 to A.6.2 in the Annex.

          5.3 International investment position

            • The euro area as a whole recorded revisions (as measured by SMAPE) of approximately 2% for both assets and liabilities, double the median for euro area countries.
            • At country level, revisions for assets and liabilities were generally comparable (with the exception of Slovenia).
            • Lithuania and Slovenia recorded the highest revisions in the euro area.
            • However, with the exception of revisions to Slovenian assets, this level of revision was comparable to other euro area countries.
            • Chart5 Revisions to the international investment position (symmetric mean absolute percentage error -SMAPE)
            • As regards revisions to net i.i.p., the euro area as a whole recorded revisions totalling 1.1% of the underlying average positions during the period under review (comparable to the median level of revisions for euro area countries).
            • Slightly higher revisions (between 1.9% and 3.1%) were recorded in net positions for the various functional categories (direct, portfolio and other investment).
            • At the level of individual countries, the highest NRR for net i.i.p.
            • Even if by a considerable distance, Slovenia was next, owing in particular to its revisions to assets.
            • Chart6 Revisions to the net international investment position (net relative revisions (NRR))


            Detailed information on SMAPE, NRR, upward revisions and directional reliability indicators is available in Tables A.2.1 to A.6.2 in the Annex.

          6 Internal consistency


            This section comprises two parts, assessing the reported national b.o.p. and i.i.p. data for internal coherence and consistency respectively. This comprises consistency over time (i.e. potential breaks in series), reconciliation across different frequencies (monthly and quarterly data) and an assessment of the arithmetic and accounting identities (including net errors and omissions).

          6.1 Validation/integrity rules

            • This section reviews to what extent the transmitted national datasets were complete and met all basic accounting validation rules.
            • Furthermore, it is strongly encouraged that datasets for different frequencies (i.e.monthly and quarterly) or data recorded in different datasets (e.g.reserve assets transmitted in the i.i.p.
            • statement and in the reserve assets template) are kept consistent at all times.
            • In order to summarise compliance with validation rules, the average share of satisfied validations is used as an indicator (see section Methodological documentation for quality indicators for more details).
            • The share of satisfied integrity rules was also below 95% for Belgium (owing to reconciliation issues) and France (owing to issues in the functional detail, the geographical breakdown, and the resident and counterpart sector breakdowns).
            • In terms of time consistency, the vast majority of countries exhibit full consistency between monthly and quarterly data, with only a few exceptions.
            • Major breaks are also present in Q4 2015 due to different estimation methods applied to portfolio investment debt securities liabilities.
            • Austria: certain breaks apply in primary income credits and debits (from Q1 2013 to Q1 2016) as explained by SPE activity.
            • It should be noted, however, that countries are making continuous efforts to improve their data.
            • Data transmissions submitted after the review period have already resulted in improved data quality.
            • Values for the validation indicators are available in Tables A.7.1 to A.7.3 in the Annex.

          6.2 Net errors and omissions

            • Net errors and omissions (n.e.o.)
            • (the difference between net lending/borrowing as compiled from the current plus capital accounts and the financial account) provide an indication of the internal consistency of the b.o.p.
            • However, if these imbalances are large and/or persistent, they indicate problems in sources and/or methods.
            • compilation practices, it is not uncommon that statistical modelling and/or expert judgements are applied with the intent of imposing certain properties on net errors and omissions.
            • This involves using statistical techniques to account for a lack of source data coverage or uncertainty about certain pre-identified items.
            • At euro area level, a correction mechanism that minimises net errors and omissions is also in place.
            • The average relative error for current account provides a measure of the magnitude of net errors and omissions in relation to average gross current account flows.
            • Monthly errors and omissions were substantially higher than quarterly ones.
            • relative to average gross current account flows was 6% for monthly data and less than 2% for quarterly data.)
            • as a percentage of average current account gross flows at 14% (Ireland, which had the second highest n.e.o.
            • Chart7 Relative net errors and omissions[40] (average absolute net errors and omissions relative to average gross current account flows)


            The persistence of the sign of errors and omissions is also relevant as a quality measure as it helps to identify biases in the accounts. Chart 8 below shows the cumulative n.e.o. in relation to current account gross flows. Chart 8 Bias in net errors and omissions (cumulative net errors and omissions relative to average gross current account flows)
            Neither the euro area as a whole nor the vast majority of euro area countries display a significant statistical bias in their net errors and omissions. Values for the validation indicators (including n.e.o.) are available in Tables A.7.1 to A.7.7 in the Annex.

          7 External consistency/coherence


            External consistency is defined as the coherence of b.o.p. and i.i.p. data with other related statistical domains. In this report, the external consistency/coherence of the b.o.p. and i.i.p. is assessed against foreign trade statistics, euro area (sector) accounts, MFI balance sheet statistics (including money market funds), investment fund statistics and securities holdings statistics.

          7.1 Coherence with foreign trade statistics

            • International trade in goods statistics (ITGS) is typically the main data source used to compile the b.o.p.
            • However, when comparing the two datasets, important conceptual differences should be taken into account.
            • Differences in concepts and definitions are linked primarily to the fact that b.o.p.
            • Given the methodological differences between the two datasets, a direct comparison would not convey an accurate picture.
            • and ITGS data exhibit consistent developments and can hence be used as complementary analytical data sources.
            • For the euro area as a whole, there was full directional reliability for both imports and exports.
            • Four euro area countries displayed full directional reliability for both exports and imports for the two counterpart areas analysed.

          7.2 Consistency with euro area sector accounts

            • Euro area b.o.p.
            • data constitute one of the building blocks of the euro area accounts (EAA) and are widely used at national level for the compilation of the rest of the world (RoW) financial and non-financial accounts as part of the system of national accounts.
            • and the RoW account (national accounts) were removed with the introduction of ESA 2010 and the BPM6, albeit some challenges still remain when it comes to interpretation.
            • [44] analysis showed that inconsistencies between the two statistical domains persisted in many countries, negatively affecting the combined use of the two datasets and their reliability.
            • Acknowledging this, the ESCB worked to precisely identify the differences and to develop national medium-term work plans to be generally observed by September 2019.
            • Such issues are tackled in the context of the MIP quality assurance framework.

          7.2.1 Current account

            • and RoW current accounts.
            • As an indicative benchmark, relative differences should ideally be no higher than 0.5% of the underlying average b.o.p.
            • At country level, however, differences above 0.5% were recorded for several countries (Belgium,[48] Germany (only for debits), Ireland, Greece, France and Luxembourg).
            • Ireland, Greece (only for debits), France (only for credits) and Luxembourg recorded notable discrepancies (above 6%) for their current accounts, with sizeable discrepancies for services (Greece, France and Luxembourg) and primary income (Ireland, France and Luxembourg).
            • In addition, differences above the threshold were also observed for a few other countries (Austria, Portugal, and Slovakia), without affecting consistency between the two datasets.
            • Chart9 Current account discrepancies between the b.o.p.
            • and RoW account (average absolute and relative difference (as a percentage of respective quarterly b.o.p.

          7.2.2 Financial transactions

            • and the RoW account for financial transactions.
            • In this case, discrepancies may be accounted for by time of recording differences, as well as by the reconciliation of national sectoral accounts.
            • Both vertical reconciliation (a correction for errors and omissions) and horizontal reconciliation (asset/liability equality across sectors) may entail larger adjustments to the financial transactions in the RoW account.
            • Nonetheless, as an indicative benchmark, the relative differences should ideally not exceed 0.3% of the average value of the underlying positions.
            • Greece recorded the highest relative discrepancies, while the largest absolute differences were observed in Germany (only for liabilities) and France.
            • Chart10 Financial account transactions discrepancies between the b.o.p.
            • and RoW stocks of financial assets/liabilities) for the period Q3 2016 to Q2 2019 (b.o.p.

          7.2.3 Financial positions

            • and the RoW account for financial assets and liabilities (balance sheets/positions).
            • As expected, the differences between the two datasets are larger for positions than for transactions.
            • Relative differences should, as an indicative benchmark, be below 0.5% of the average financial assets/liabilities totals in the i.i.p.
            • The euro area recorded discrepancies of 4% for both assets and liabilities, similar to last year.
            • These discrepancies arose mostly from differences between the compilation and reconciliation processes for the euro area i.i.p.
            • Other reasons behind the differences also affecting the remaining instrument types include discrepancies in vintages, data sources and estimation methods.
            • Chart11 Financial account position discrepancies between the i.i.p.
            • and RoW stocks of financial assets/liabilities) for the period Q3 2016 to Q2 2019 (i.i.p.


            Further details of these comparisons are available in Tables A.9.1 to A.9.4 in the Annex.

          7.3 Coherence with MFI balance sheet data

            • Data on cross-border transactions and positions of the euro area MFI sector are recorded in the euro area b.o.p./i.i.p.
            • and collected under the MFI Balance Sheet statistics (BSI)[50].
            • data for the MFI sector and transactions in external assets and liabilities derived from the BSI statistics of euro area MFIs is essential for the construction of the monetary presentation of the balance of payments and its use for monetary policy purposes.
            • [51] Furthermore, this consistency is also paramount for the compilers of euro area accounts, who use both datasets as building blocks.
            • On these grounds, the ECB assesses the consistency between the two datasets in every regular production cycle, taking into account details by sector and instrument.
            • Comparability issues were, however, observed for quarterly data on asset positions in equity.
            • and BSI positions, were recorded for the euro area and explained by French data.
            • In the case of loans and deposits, the highest discrepancy was found in Maltese liabilities, averaging 12% over the reference period.
            • and monthly aggregated sources for BSI, which leads in particular to differences in valuation criteria (i.e.the b.o.p./i.i.p.
            • are calculated at transaction/market prices, while BSI transactions are derived from positions reported at fair, cost or nominal value, depending on accounting practices).

          Eurosystem

            • Most of the discrepancies in the data for the Eurosystem as a whole (i.e.euro area aggregates) are related to the inclusion in the b.o.p.
            • of estimates for foreign holdings of euro banknotes,[53] while in BSI statistics all holdings of euro banknotes are deemed in circulation in the euro area.
            • At country level, the treatment of intra-Eurosystem technical claims is also a source of discrepancies, as these are included under remaining assets and liabilities without geographical breakdown in BSI, and under currency and deposits in the b.o.p./i.i.p.
            • Additionally, the b.o.p.
            • estimations for foreign holdings of euro banknotes are not included in BSI statistics.
            • Further details of these comparisons are available in ChartsA.10.1 to A.10.6 in the Annex.

          7.4 Coherence with money market fund statistics

            • Data on cross-border investment in euro area money market fund (MMF) shares are recorded within the portfolio investment account of the euro area b.o.p./i.i.p.
            • Data on assets and liabilities of euro area MMFs are also collected under BSI statistics[54], as MMFs is a sub-sector of MFIs.
            • At the euro area level, the i.i.p.
            • consistently exceeded the BSI outstanding amounts of MMF shares issued by euro area residents and held by non-euro area residents.
            • At country level, small discrepancies were recorded in the period under review for Ireland, France and Luxembourg (the only countries in the euro area with relevant MMF activity).
            • The discrepancies between the two sets of statistics were related to the use of different compilation methods in b.o.p., i.i.p.
            • portfolio investment liabilities,[55] MMF liabilities are allocated geographically by respondents in BSI statistics.
            • In such cases, the first counterpart the custodian or other intermediary may be known, but the final investor often is not.
            • Further details of these comparisons are available in ChartsA.11.1 and A.11.2 in the Annex.

          7.5 Coherence with investment fund statistics

            • Details on cross-border investments in non-MMF investment fund (IF) shares are recorded in the b.o.p.
            • statistics within portfolio investment.
            • Data on IF assets and liabilities are collected under the Regulation on Investment Funds[56] (IF dataset).
            • consistently exceeds the IF dataset in terms of euro area investment fund liabilities.
            • The average absolute discrepancy reached a value close to 170billion for positions and 3billion for transactions throughout the period under analysis.
            • The discrepancies at the euro area level are partly explained by the use of the residual approach to calculate portfolio investment liabilities (see Section7.4 above).
            • In addition, while France displays a relative discrepancy of 5%, the average absolute discrepancy stands at 7.3billion for stocks.

          7.6 Coherence with securities holdings statistics

            • The ECB Guideline stipulates that portfolio investment collection systems of euro area countries shall as much as possible rely on s-b-s information (see AnnexVI of the ECB Guideline).
            • In particular, it is stated that the target coverage is defined as follows: stocks of securities reported to the national compiler on an aggregate basis, i.e.not using standard (ISIN or similar) codes, should not exceed 15% of the total portfolio investment stocks of assets or liabilities.
            • statistics and SHSS[57] provide consistent results, mainly because national portfolio investment assets and SHSS should rely on the same s-b-s sources of information.
            • [58] This section compares the positions at market value of (i)debt securities and (ii)listed shares and investment fund shares/units as available in the SHSS dataset.
            • [59] This analysis considers, on the SHSS side, the cross-border holdings by residents of each euro area country as collected by the respective country, as well as holdings by non-financial investors of each euro area country held in custody in other euro area countries (i.e.the so-called third-party holdings).

          7.6.1 Debt securities

            • For the euro area as a whole, the level of discrepancies for debt securities was 7% of the underlying i.i.p., which signals a good degree of consistency with SHSS.
            • At the level of individual countries, there were, for the first time, no cases of relative discrepancies above 15% owing to SHSS under-coverage.
            • Conversely, Cyprus recorded a difference slightly above 15% owing to over-coverage of SHSS amounts.
            • This reflects the inclusion of third-party holdings data in SHSS in relation to long-term debt securities held by non-financial investors.
            • [60] The decline in SHSS holdings by financial corporations other than MFIs of long-term debt securities issued by non-euro area countries explains, to a large extent, the (positive) b.o.p.-SHS gap.
            • The lack of comprehensive coverage of non-ISIN securities data in SHSS,[61] the different revision policies for SHSS and the i.i.p., and the i.i.p.s attempts to cover securities held with custodians outside the euro area explain a significant part of this discrepancy.
            • Further details of these comparisons are available in ChartA.13.1 in the Annex.

          7.6.2 Listed shares and investment funds shares/units

            • For the euro area as a whole, the total discrepancy as a percentage of the underlying i.i.p.
            • At country level, discrepancies above the 15% threshold owing to SHSS under-coverage[62] were recorded in Italy, Portugal and Finland.
            • Finally, Malta continued to report zero holdings of listed shares and investment fund shares within its b.o.p.
            • statistics, meaning that indicators were not calculated for this country despite relevant amounts being reported in the context of SHSS for these instruments.
            • To a large extent, the decline in SHSS holdings by financial corporations other than MFIs of listed shares and investment fund shares issued by non-euro area countries explains the positive b.o.p.-SHSS gap.
            • The caveats mentioned for debt securities also hold when it comes to explaining this discrepancy.Further details of these comparisons are available in ChartA.13.2 in the Annex.

          8 Asymmetries

            • Asymmetries are an inherent feature of all statistics for which mirror data are collected, i.e.for which two countries collect the same type of information in relation to each other.
            • In reality, however, for a variety of reasons it is rarely the case that two data sources provide exactly the same results, and this leads to the emergence of asymmetries.
            • Asymmetries can be observed at the level of the global economy (where total world assets should equal total world liabilities), at the level of geographical aggregates (where total intra-euro area assets should match total intra-euro area liabilities) and at the level of bilateral pairs (where flows and positions between pairs of countries should match perfectly).

          8.1 Intra-euro area asymmetries


            Charts 12 and 13 provide an overview of intra-euro area asymmetries in the current and capital accounts and the financial account respectively. Chart 12 Intra-euro area current and capital account asymmetries (EUR billions)
            • Current and capital account asymmetries (credits minus debits) were always positive over the period under review.
            • The main contributors to the overall asymmetries show structural biases: consistently positive asymmetries in goods and services accounts, with negative contributions being made by the primary income account.
            • Chart13 Intra-euro area financial account asymmetries (EUR billions)
            • In the financial account, asymmetries were mainly recorded in direct and other investment.
            • Portfolio investment and related income do not show asymmetries by construction, owing to the residual compilation approach at the euro area level.
            • Financial account asymmetries were fairly volatile in the period under review, with periods where asymmetries in direct and other investment offset each other alternating with periods where they both contributed in the same direction to the overall asymmetry.

          8.2 Bilateral asymmetries

          • Balance of payments (b.o.p.) and international investment position (i.i.p.) data underpin the construction of the following three headline indicators:
            • current account balance (percentage of GDP), three-year backward-moving average (up to 13 years of data required);
            • net international investment position (percentage of GDP) (up to ten years of data required);
            • export market share (percentage of world exports), five-year percentage change (up to 15 years of data required).
          • Additionally, b.o.p. and i.i.p. data are also used for five auxiliary indicators:
            • current plus capital account balance (net lending/borrowing) (percentage of GDP) (ten years of data required);
            • net international investment position excluding “non-defaultable” instruments[64] (NENDI) (percentage of GDP) (ten years of data required);
            • foreign direct investment in the reporting economy, flows (percentage of GDP) (ten years of data required);
            • foreign direct investment in the reporting economy, positions (percentage of GDP) (ten years of data required);
            • export performance against advanced economies (percentage of OECD exports), five-year percentage change (15 years of data required).
            • Quarterly bilateral transactions and positions between euro area countries are transmitted to the ECB on a voluntary basis, hence a full bilateral dataset is not yet available.
            • Owing to data availability, the analysis of bilateral asymmetries between euro area countries is performed only for direct investment.
            • The internal and external country geographical quality indicators (ICGQ and XCGQ respectively) are measures that summarise the quality of the geographical breakdown.
            • The ICGQ aims to assess the accuracy of individual countries geographical classification within the sample of countries for which bilateral data are available by aggregating absolute bilateral asymmetries.
            • More information on these indicators can be found in the section on Methodological documentation for quality indicators.
            • The results of the ICGQ indicator for FDI transactions were characterised by significant variability across countries and over time.
            • Several countries consistently recorded high scores across the entire time period, indicating structural problems in matching counterparties transactions.
            • Meanwhile, the majority of countries experienced high volatility in the measures over time, pointing to quarter-specific problems in capturing the geographical detail of transactions, rather than structural issues.
            • Consequently, most of the countries performed relatively well across the entire time period.
            • This finding is obviously welcome from the point of view of the quality of overall euro area data.
            • For both quality measures, the results recorded for FDI positions were better than those observed for transaction data.
            • Further information on summary indicators of bilateral asymmetries is available in TablesA.14.1 to A.14.4 in the Annex.
            • Together, these indicators provide analytical evidence of possible vulnerabilities and risks that would require further investigation at country level.
            • Breaks are also present in Q4 2015 owing to a change to the estimation method applied for portfolio investment debt securities liabilities.
            • Croatia: Breaks are observed for stocks of financial derivatives assets (2014), stocks of direct investment assets (between 2010 and 2014), and secondary income (2013).
            • and the RoW account (national accounts) were removed with the introduction of ESA 2010 and BPM6.
            • The CMFB endorsed a medium-term work plan designed to eliminate most discrepancies by September 2019.
            • The remaining discrepancies will be analysed in depth by ECB and Eurostat, and the most relevant outstanding differences will be addressed.
            • [65] Nonetheless, with one minor exception (Ireland), none of the discrepancies recorded was above 2% of GDP.
            • and the RoW account are more pervasive, totalling more than 10% of GDP in three cases: France (assets only), Malta and Croatia (assets only).
            • MIP Annex Table1 Annual absolute revisions balance/net items for 2017 (percentage of GDP)

          Euro area and national quarterly financial accounts - 2018 quality report

          Retrieved on: 
          Samedi, juin 8, 2019

          Executive summary [1] The report fulfils the formal requirement obliging the ECB Executive Board to inform the Governing Council of the quality of these statistics, as set out in Article 7(2) of Guideline ECB/2013/24, of 25 July 2013 (as amended) (hereinafter the ECB Guideline).

          Key Points: 

          Executive summary

          • [1] The report fulfils the formal requirement obliging the ECB Executive Board to inform the Governing Council of the quality of these statistics, as set out in Article 7(2) of Guideline ECB/2013/24, of 25 July 2013 (as amended) (hereinafter the ECB Guideline).
          • Supporting information tables and details of how the indicators are computed can be found in Annex 1 and Annex 2 respectively.

          Statistical developments between 2017 and 2018

          • The European System of Central Banks (ESCB) working groups on Financial Accounts (WG FA) and on External Statistics (WG ES), along with other sub-structures of the Statistics Committee (STC), are working closely together on the following common issues:
            • securities held with non-resident custodians that are not covered by national securities holdings statistics;
            • coverage of the other financial institutions (OFIs) sector and, in particular, the timely coverage of special-purpose entities (SPEs), given the lack of primary statistics;
            • coverage of financial derivatives for all sectors, owing to missing data sources and/or counterpart sector details.
          • Countries provided quarterly supplementary data at t+85 and full national financial accounts data and metadata at t+97, as required by the Guideline.
          • The provision of the mandatory metadata by all countries, in all full national transmissions, is an improvement on 2017.

          Statistical issues affecting MIP indicators

          • Given that the financial accounts are an integrated statistical accounting framework, most of the issues mentioned in the report are also relevant for assessing the quality of the data for MIP purposes.
          • For more information on assessing data quality for MIP purposes please see the MIP box at the end of the main body of this report.

          1 Introduction

          • statistics.
          • [5] The focus of the report is on national data for euro area countries and euro area aggregates.

          1.1 Scope of data coverage and structure of the report

          • This report analyses a number of aspects by which data quality can be measured.
          • The analysis focuses on the quarterly financial accounts data transmitted and published in 2018.

          2 Methodological soundness and statistical procedures

          • In such cases source data are supplemented with estimations or residual calculations in order to ensure the accounts are complete.
          • An overview of the known methodological issues and coverage gaps is provided in Table 1 in the Executive summary.

          2.1 Securities holdings

          • The coverage of the securities holdings of the sectors not previously covered by statistical reporting requirements the non-financial sectors and most OFIs has generally improved with the introduction of securities holdings statistics (SHS) which collect data from financial corporations and custodians.
          • The national SHS must be complemented with data on residents securities holdings with custodians in other euro area countries and custodians outside the euro area.

          2.2 Coverage of other financial institutions

          • A special questionnaire was administered by the WG FA in 2018 to gather information on the quality of the financial accounts for OFIs.
          • A further, common issue is the availability of timely quarterly data sources for OFIs that are suitable for compiling the financial accounts.

          2.3 Financial derivatives

          • It is particularly difficult to achieve coverage of financial derivatives for sectors not covered by statistical reporting requirements, i.e.
          • In October 2018, a joint WG FA -WG ES Task Force on financial derivatives was formed with a mandate to issue recommendations on data sources and data collection and compilation methods.

          2.4 Unlisted shares and other equity

          • Even when corporate balance sheet data are available, it is difficult to value unlisted shares and other equity in the absence of comparable corporations issuing listed shares.
          • This is a potential explanation for the low values of unlisted shares and other equity in some countries relative to the distributed income of corporations.

          2.5 Intra-NFC loans

          • Most countries lack a comprehensive and timely quarterly data source for loans between resident non-financial corporations (NFCs).
          • Several countries do not have a fully comprehensive direct data source or access to business registers facilitating the grossing-up procedures needed to achieve full coverage of intra-NFC loans.

          2.6 Sector classification of head offices, holding companies and special-purpose entities

          • ESA 2010 introduced a change to the sector classification of head offices, holding companies and special-purpose entities (SPEs), which also affects the sector delineation of the financial and non-financial corporation sector.
          • The WG FA agreed that in the context of the breakdown of OFIs by ESA sector, proposed as part of the medium-term strategy for financial accounts, further guidance will be needed to ensure the harmonised recording of the head offices of financial subsidiaries (S126), holding companies (S127) and SPEs.

          3 Timeliness and punctuality

          • All euro area countries transmitted the supplementary data and the full set of national data by the respective deadlines.
          • Table 2 Transmission and release dates in 2018 for euro area aggregates and country data

          4 Data and metadata availability

            4.1 Completeness

            • In the supplementary data transmission for Q1 2018 (t+85) the Netherlands did not transmit 20 mandatory counterpart sector series.
            • All countries regularly delivered metadata on revisions and major events, although Ireland was late transmitting the metadata for Q2 2018.

            4.2 Accessibility

            • Accessibility refers to the conditions by which users can obtain, use and interpret data.
            • The ECB publishes euro area aggregates for transactions, outstanding amounts and revaluations for all euro area aggregates.
            • Most euro area countries make the entire datasets publicly available through their transmission to the ECBs Statistical Data Warehouse.
            • source data.

            4.3 Clarity

            • Clarity refers to the information environment of the data, i.e.
            • The availability of background information on sources and methods considerably enhances the usability and clarity of the data.
            • The ECB publishes two press releases per quarter, outlining the latest data and relevant economic developments, on the ECBs website.

            5 Accuracy and reliability

            • In this report, revisions for all euro area countries and for the euro area as a whole are assessed using indicators based on a comparison between the initial and the final assessment. Two basic types of indicators are used (more detailed information on revision indicators is available in Annex 1).
              1. Relative size indicators measure the absolute differences between the first and the most recent data vintages. The absolute differences may be quantified relative to the underlying series when strictly positive or, otherwise, to a reference series such as GDP or underlying outstanding amounts. These indicators are the symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE) and mean absolute revisions shown as a percentage of GDP. In the case of transactions, revisions cannot be properly related to the series value itself because the observations may have different signs or the value of the series may often be close to zero. Therefore, absolute revisions in transactions are related to the underlying outstanding amounts or to an individual country’s GDP.
              2. Directional stability and reliability indicators measure how frequently initial assessments are revised in the same direction and whether the direction of change indicated by the initial assessment has correctly predicted the direction of change in the most recent data vintage.
            • In general, revisions are needed to improve the accuracy of the data, as an initial assessment may be based on incomplete, late or erroneous responses from reporting agents.
            • Detailed tables containing SMAPE, upward revisions and directional reliability indicators for the euro area aggregates and all EU countries are available, for information purposes, in Annex 1.

            5.1 Household financial investment and loan financing

            • Revisions to household financial investment were more pronounced than revisions to household loan financing in all euro area countries, except in Luxembourg, Malta and Austria, as can be seen in Chart 1.
            • Euro area household financial investment (transactions) recorded revisions that are lower than the median for revisions of euro area countries.

            5.2 NFC financing

            • Of the components of NFC financing, the net issuance of debt securities was revised more than loan financing in six euro area countries, as can be seen in Chart 2.
            • Belgium, Luxembourg, the Netherlands and Finland recorded higher than average revisions to NFC loan financing than the other euro area countries, while the directional reliability indicator was not below 70% in any of these countries.

            5.3 Financial corporations liabilities

            • Revisions for FC liabilities were highest for Cyprus, Luxembourg, the Netherlands and Slovakia but were lower overall for total FC liabilities and OFI liabilities than the data reported in the previous Quality Report in June 2018 for most countries.
            • Revisions to OFI liabilities were high in about half of the euro countries (see Chart 3) and were therefore a main driver of revisions to overall FC liabilities.

            • Detailed tables containing SMAPE, upward revisions, directional reliability indicators and mean absolute revisions as a percentage of GDP for all EU countries are available in Annex 1.

            6 Internal consistency

            • Internal consistency refers to accounting identities and to hierarchical relationships between aggregates and components.
            • Table 4 Internal consistency of input data for the euro area accounts by financial instrument Horizontal imbalances
            • The inconsistencies averaged out over time for all instruments except financial derivatives.
            • [11] Some internal inconsistencies remain for Ireland related to aggregation checks, mostly for other changes in volume (see Annex 1 Table A.1.2.1).

            7 External consistency/coherence

              7.1 Coherence with non-financial sector accounts: vertical consistency

              • Vertical imbalances arise because different data sources are used for the compilation of the financial and the non-financial accounts.
              • The vertical consistency of quarterly data cannot, therefore, be assessed for Estonia, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta and Slovakia, while Slovenia provides quarterly data on a voluntary basis.
              • Charts 4.1.b, 4.2.b and 4.3.b show the cumulative vertical discrepancies as available in October 2018, in order to show whether vertical discrepancies balance out or accumulate over time.
              • Chart 4.1.b below displays the cumulative vertical discrepancies for the household sector in relation to GDP.
              • Chart 4.1b Bias in vertical discrepancies, households (Cumulated vertical discrepancies relative to GDP, percentages)
              • For some countries, the discrepancies were significantly greater, partly because this sector is generally not reconciled (see Chart 4.2.a).
              • Germany), this sector has been chosen to offset the net errors and omissions stemming from the b.o.p.

              • The euro area NFC sector displays a small positive bias (see Chart 4.2.b). Ireland displays a negative bias in the most recent period, while Greece and Finland show a positive bias for all periods. Chart 4.2b Bias in vertical discrepancies, non-financial corporations (Cumulated vertical discrepancies relative to GDP, percentages)

              • For this sector, data availability is typically better than it is for the non-financial sectors, and many countries usually achieve consistency.
              • In the case of Ireland the discrepancies have decreased and are now relatively small compared with the size of the financial sector.

              • Ireland and Finland exhibit a negative bias, while Greece displays a positive bias in the most recent period (see Chart 4.3.b). Chart 4.3b Bias in vertical discrepancies, financial corporations (Cumulated vertical discrepancies relative to GDP, percentages)

              7.2 Consistency with balance of payments and international investment position statistics

              • and the RoW account (national accounts) were removed with the introduction of ESA 2010 and BPM6, even though some interpretation challenges still remain.
              • Acknowledging this, the ESCB has worked to precisely identify the differences and to develop national medium-term work plans to be generally observed by September 2019.

              7.2.1 Financial transactions

              • and the RoW account for financial transactions.
              • Chart 5 Financial account transaction discrepancies between the b.o.p and RoW account (average absolute and relative difference (as a percentage of respective b.o.p and RoW stocks of financial assets/liabilities) for the period Q3 2015 to Q2 2018 (b.o.p.

              7.2.2 Financial positions

              • and the RoW account for financial assets and liabilities (balance sheets/positions).
              • According to a convention agreed by balance of payment compilers, the relative differences should be below 0.5% of the total of the average financial assets/liabilities in the i.i.p.

              7.3 Comparison with other financial statistics

              • Deviations from other financial statistics may well be justified, as financial accountants may choose to amend the primary data sources in order to align with ESA concepts, or to enrich the data with alternative or supplementary data sources.
              • However, identifying, comparing and explaining differences may be the starting point for a more thorough analysis and, in addition, explaining major differences between the national data and other related statistics provides valuable information for the users of euro area accounts and MIP data.

              7.3.1 Comparison of MFI loans by counterpart sector with MFI balance sheet statistics

              • Conceptual differences arise for MFI loans because MFI balance sheet statistics (BSI) do not record the accrued interest with the loan.
              • While unilateral write-downs may be recognised in MFI balance sheet statistics, loans are recorded at nominal value in the financial accounts until they have been completely written off.

              7.3.2 Comparison of securities issuance and ECB securities issues statistics

              • Financial accounts are the main input for the following three headline indicators:
                • private sector debt[16], consolidated[17] as a percentage of GDP;
                • private sector credit flow[18], consolidated as a percentage of GDP;
                • financial sector liabilities[19], non-consolidated[20], one-year percentage change (11 years of data necessary);
                • Additionally, financial accounts are used for one auxiliary indicator[21]:
                • household debt (including NPISH) [22], consolidated as a percentage of GDP;
              • Conceptual differences between securities issuance in the financial accounts and the securities issues statistics (SEC) relate to different valuation methods (nominal in SEC, market valuation in the financial accounts) and the recording of transactions received against payments other than cash.
              • In some Member States securities issued without an International Securities Identification Number (ISIN), which is not generally captured in SEC, are non-negligible.
              • A Memorandum of Understanding between Eurostat and the ECB/Directorate General Statistics (DG -S) on the quality assurance of statistics underlying the MIP (hereinafter the MoU) was therefore signed in November 2016.

              • MIP Chart B Vertical discrepancies, non-financial corporations (Absolute vertical discrepancies relative to GDP, percentages)

              • In Finland, discrepancies increased in 2017 due to the process aimed at ensuring good alignment between balance of payments and financial accounts.
              • MIP Chart C Vertical discrepancies, financial corporations (Absolute vertical discrepancies relative to GDP, percentages)
              • In several EU countries work to ensure good alignment between financial and non-financial accounts is being carried out, and regular meetings are being held between the compilers.
              • At European level, the issue is addressed in the relevant working fora (WG FA, Expert Group on Sector Accounts).