Palaszczuk

Grattan on Friday: In the second half of this term Albanese will need to concentrate on delivery

Retrieved on: 
Jeudi, septembre 28, 2023

Daniel Andrews’ abrupt exit from the Victorian premiership this week is the latest development in a wider picture.

Key Points: 
  • Daniel Andrews’ abrupt exit from the Victorian premiership this week is the latest development in a wider picture.
  • Looking a year ahead, Labor will be struggling against the electoral tide in Queensland, where (on present polling) the Palaszczuk government could lose office.
  • Palaszczuk has said she is determined to stay at the helm for the election, but her leadership has been under pressure from her colleagues.
  • Of the COVID premiers, only Palaszczuk remains (ACT Chief Minister Andrew Barr is also still there).
  • More generally, the (nearly completed) first half of the government’s first term has seen many policy announcements – the second half will need to emphasise delivery.
  • Later in the month, Albanese will be in Washington on a state visit, feted at the White House.
  • The Australian prime minister might privately muse that whatever problems he faces, they are way, way easier than those confronting his host.

Even if her leadership is now doomed, Annastacia Palaszczuk will still be a Labor legend in Queensland

Retrieved on: 
Jeudi, août 31, 2023

Whatever fate awaits Annastacia Palaszczuk over the coming weeks, Queensland’s 39th – and only the second woman – premier will never lose her standing in the Australian Labor pantheon.

Key Points: 
  • Whatever fate awaits Annastacia Palaszczuk over the coming weeks, Queensland’s 39th – and only the second woman – premier will never lose her standing in the Australian Labor pantheon.
  • Palaszczuk, the state Labor leader since 2012 and premier since 2015, is already Australia’s most successful female political leader.
  • If Palaszczuk can survive the building pressure on her to resign, she could next year become Queensland’s fourth longest-serving – and Labor’s second longest-serving – premier since 1860.
  • Worse for Labor, Resolve now pegs LNP first-preference support at 38% (up three points since the 2020 election), with Labor at just 32% (down seven).

A perception of a ‘checked-out’ premier

    • A year after securing her third term as premier in the 2020 election, Palaszczuk was wholly untroubled by a virtually unknown opposition leader.
    • The effect was rapid and seismic: the hitherto Teflon Palaszczuk now looked flawed, and opinion polls soon reflected Labor’s vulnerability.
    • Palaszczuk was then framed as a “checked-out”, “red carpet” premier more interested in mixing with celebrities and attending glitzy gala events with her new partner.
    • Read more:
      Queensland is not only trampling the rights of children, it is setting a concerning legal precedent

Who might step into her large shoes?

    • In short, Palaszczuk has been Labor’s best asset in Queensland since 2012; now she appears a liability.
    • It’s almost certain Queensland will have a new Labor premier, possibly by the end of this month.
    • Either way, the next Labor leader would have very large shoes to fill.
    • Even those in regional Queensland warmed to a Labor leader who looked and sounded like a friendly next-door neighbour.
    • But it’s foolish to completely write off the party that has dominated Queensland politics for 28 of the past 33 years.

LNP takes lead in Queensland Resolve poll, but Labor still far ahead in Victoria

Retrieved on: 
Mardi, août 22, 2023

Since the May 2022 federal election, Resolve has had better results for Labor in its federal and state polls than other pollsters, so this is a particularly bad result for Labor.

Key Points: 
  • Since the May 2022 federal election, Resolve has had better results for Labor in its federal and state polls than other pollsters, so this is a particularly bad result for Labor.
  • The only other recent Queensland poll was an early July Freshwater poll that gave the LNP a 52–48 lead.
  • Labor has governed in Queensland since early 2015, but federally, Queensland is the most conservative state.
  • By the October 2024 state election, Labor will have governed for almost ten years, so there could be an “it’s time” factor for voters.

Victorian Resolve poll: Labor down but still far ahead

    • The Poll Bludger estimated this poll would give Labor a 60–40 lead, a 2.5-point gain for the Coalition since June.
    • The July federal Resolve poll was conducted entirely before the games cancellation was announced on July 18, so only the August part of this poll would include reaction to this decision.
    • Read more:
      Victoria's Labor Party plunges in a Morgan poll after Commonwealth Games axed

Federal Morgan and Redbridge polls give Labor large leads

    • In last week’s Morgan federal poll, conducted August 7–13 from a sample of 1,452, Labor led by 54.5–45.5, a one-point gain for Labor since the previous week.
    • Primary votes were 35.5% Labor, 34.5% Coalition, 12% Greens and 18% for all others.
    • The Poll Bludger reported on Sunday that a Redbridge federal poll, conducted last week from a sample of 1,000, gave Labor a 55.6–44.4 lead, from primary votes of 38% Labor, 32% Coalition, 10% Greens and 21% for all others.

Additional federal Resolve questions

    • I previously covered the slide in Labor’s vote, Albanese’s ratings and support for the Indigenous Voice to parliament in a federal Resolve poll for Nine newspapers that was conducted August 9–13 from a sample of 1,603.
    • In additional questions from this poll, 54% wanted the next federal election after a full term is served in early 2025, while 20% wanted an early election in 2024.
    • By 35–33, respondents did not think Labor’s housing policy important enough to call a special early election of both houses of parliament.

Newspoll to be administered by a new pollster


    The Poll Bludger reported on Sunday that Pyxis Polling will conduct Newspoll. Pyxis was formed after two senior staff at YouGov, which used to conduct Newspoll, resigned to start their own polling company. I do not know when the first new Newspoll will appear, but it has now been five weeks since the last YouGov-conducted Newspoll.

Grattan on Friday: Fadden byelection is Dutton's immediate hurdle but party reform is the bigger challenge

Retrieved on: 
Jeudi, juillet 13, 2023

The Liberals lost the seat of Aston at that byelection, which underscored the depth of Dutton’s difficulties in Victoria.

Key Points: 
  • The Liberals lost the seat of Aston at that byelection, which underscored the depth of Dutton’s difficulties in Victoria.
  • Unlike Aston, which became marginal in 2022, Fadden sits on what is considered an impregnable 10.6% margin.
  • Both sides are convinced it will stay in Coalition hands, so it’s all about the size and direction of the swing.
  • Some matter, others don’t, but in today’s fevered politics, their results have impact in the moment.
  • In Fadden, both Labor and the Liberal National Party have had meaty issues on which to campaign.
  • Dutton is reportedly happy with the party’s efforts in Fadden, with the Liberal National Party machine running a competent campaign.
  • The troubles with the Liberals in Victoria are centred on the state parliamentary party but spread through the division.

Vaxxas Opens World-Class Manufacturing Facility To Produce Proprietary Needle-Free Vaccine Patch For Late-Stage Clinical Trials and First Commercial Products

Retrieved on: 
Dimanche, juin 18, 2023

The custom-built 5,500 square meter (60,000 square feet) Vaxxas Biomedical Facility will serve as the company’s global headquarters and support the scale-up of its operations to produce HD-MAP vaccines for future late-stage clinical trials and first commercial products.

Key Points: 
  • The custom-built 5,500 square meter (60,000 square feet) Vaxxas Biomedical Facility will serve as the company’s global headquarters and support the scale-up of its operations to produce HD-MAP vaccines for future late-stage clinical trials and first commercial products.
  • The Queensland Government provided funding and operational support to Vaxxas in developing the facility.
  • Vaxxas has received additional funding from the Australian Government through its Modern Manufacturing Initiative to support the installation of specialized manufacturing and production infrastructure.
  • The site will significantly increase our manufacturing capacity, creating new local, skilled jobs, while enabling Vaxxas to progress through late-stage clinical trials that will bring our first commercial vaccine products to the market,” said Mr. Hoey.

Rio Tinto and Sumitomo to assess hydrogen pilot plant at Gladstone’s Yarwun alumina refinery

Retrieved on: 
Mardi, août 24, 2021

Rio Tinto and Sumitomo Corporation today announced a partnership to study the construction of a hydrogen pilot plant at Rio Tintos Yarwun alumina refinery in Gladstone and explore the potential use of hydrogen at the refinery.

Key Points: 
  • Rio Tinto and Sumitomo Corporation today announced a partnership to study the construction of a hydrogen pilot plant at Rio Tintos Yarwun alumina refinery in Gladstone and explore the potential use of hydrogen at the refinery.
  • The two global companies have signed a letter of intent that focuses on Yarwun as the location for a Gladstone hydrogen plant that Sumitomo has been studying.
  • If the project proceeds, the pilot plant would produce hydrogen for the recently announced Gladstone Hydrogen Ecosystem .
  • Rio Tinto Australia Chief Executive Kellie Parker said Rio Tinto has a long relationship with Sumitomo and we are delighted to partner with them to explore the possibilities of hydrogen, not only for our own refinery, but for Sumitomo to supply industry more broadly in Gladstone.