2022 Florida Gubernatorial General Election: DeSantis and Crist in Virtual Tie According to BUSR

BUSR, a boutique online gaming company, today released the BUSR/Susquehanna poll of Florida likely voters for the 2022 Florida Gubernatorial general election.

Polling indicates Governor Ron DeSantis and Congressman and former Governor Charlie Crist in a statistical dead heat accounting for margin-of-error, ahead of the Florida Gubernatorial elections on November 8, 2022.

The same poll finds Senator Marco Rubio leading Congresswoman Val Demings by an 11% margin in a general election matchup.

Florida Gubernatorial Odds May Tip Based on COVID

While DeSantis has a three-point lead over Crist, not only is this within the margin-of-error but BUSR’s forecast indicates that DeSantis’ lead will be impacted by the success or failure of his administration’s approach to combatting COVID. The current odds for DeSantis to win against Crist is -138.

DeSantis’ Risky COVID Calculus

A potential hazard for DeSantis is his administration’s approach to handling the coronavirus, particularly as it impacts public schools and businesses. His strategy of curtailing a statewide mask mandate will benefit him if the third wave or delta variant does not worsen in Florida; if COVID and its variants continue to spike and he is unable to contain the damage, then his prospects for reelection in 2022 and his political aspirations for higher office will be negatively impacted.

“Betting odds can drastically shift based on the outcome of the health crisis in Florida,” said James Ross of BUSR. However, if DeSantis’ stratagem of barring mask mandates does not cripple the citizens and economy of Florida and if he can stay above fifty percent approval rating, then “it’s good enough to get reelected in a swing state like Florida,” said Jim Lee, President of Susquehanna Polling and Research.

Rubio is Heavy Favourite - Turmoil in Afghanistan will Benefit Republicans in 2022

Marco Rubio is heavily favoured to win the 2022 Senate race with a current lead of eleven points over Val Demings. “Good polling for him suggests he’s been smart about how to keep his base secure,” said Jim Lee of Susquehanna Polling and Research.

“Rubio has this race, the question will be by how much he wins, not if,” added James Ross of BUSR. “The fallout and turmoil from the United States’ exit from Afghanistan will absolutely be talking point and strategy employed by the Republican party come 2022 to gin up their base and, more importantly, to entice the independent voter to their side,” said Ross.

The official BUSR/SUSQUEHANNA 2022 Florida Gubernatorial General Election Poll is viewable at BUSR and will be available at most major aggregate polling websites, including FiveThirtyEight and 270towin.

2024 Presidential Elections Odds are likewise available at BUSR and continued polling data and analysis will be released by BUSR up to and through the midterm election cycles.

BUSR

BUSR is an award-winning, international gaming company with offices in the United Kingdom and the Americas.

In 2020, BUSR achieved a 96% Gold Medal performance by Zendesk and was a proud sponsor of Roc Nation Sports’ Tramaine Williams in his middleweight fight against Angelo Leo on Showtime Championship Boxing.

In 2021, BUSR sponsored WBO Junior Lightweight Champion Jamel Herring in his title fight against Carl Frampton at Caesars Palace Bluewaters Dubai.

BUSR, in association with the UNLV Lee Business School and Susquehanna Polling and Research, also provides non-partisan polling data on US elections, including the US Presidential Election, Georgia Gubernatorial Election, and the 2022 North Carolina Senate Republican Poll. BUSR polling data are regularly featured by top forecasters, including FiveThirtyEight, 270ToWin and The Hill.

BUSR odds and color commentary are distributed to various publications including ESPN, Sports Illustrated, Newsweek and the New York Times.

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