Emperor penguins face a bleak future – but some colonies will do better than others in diverse sea-ice conditions
Over the past two years, Antarctic sea ice has declined dramatically, prompting scientists to suggest it could reach a “new state”.
- Over the past two years, Antarctic sea ice has declined dramatically, prompting scientists to suggest it could reach a “new state”.
- Our research shows Emperors form colonies in surprisingly diverse environmental conditions that vary depending on location around the continent.
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As Antarctic sea ice continues its dramatic decline, we need more measurements and much better models to predict its future
Why fast ice is important
- Even though Antarctica’s sea ice is diminishing, this refers to a measure known as “sea ice extent”, which includes all sea ice covering the polar ocean, whether it is fast ice or drifting pack ice.
- A decrease in sea ice extent is not necessary linearly linked to a drop in the area covered by fast ice (although the reverse is true).
Emperors are unlikely to move far
- The persistence of the ice (how long it lasts into the summer) was important because chicks had more time to develop their water-proof swimming feathers.
- In other cases, Emperors preferred sites with shallow ocean depths below the colony.
- It is therefore unlikely Emperors would move far to avoid more severe climate impacts, even if “better” habitats existed and could host larger colonies.
Protecting penguin habitat
- If we want to live in a world with Emperor penguins, the most important thing to do would be to cut greenhouse gas emissions steeply.
- Another key action could be to prevent fishing in areas where climate change will have the most impact.
- Now that our research provides more detailed information about penguin habitats, we can begin the process of more careful planning for conservation.
- The world’s largest marine protected area exists in the Ross Sea, which is home to about 25% of the world’s Emperor penguins.