An expanded BRICS could reset world politics but picking new members isn’t straightforward
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Monday, August 7, 2023
Eager to escape perceived western domination, several countries – mostly in the global south – are looking to join the Brics bloc.
Key Points:
- Eager to escape perceived western domination, several countries – mostly in the global south – are looking to join the Brics bloc.
- The five-country bloc (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) is also looking to grow its global partnerships.
- That’s because the group is still focused on harmonising its vision, and the potential new members do not readily make the cut.
- Simply put, while some states are opposed to western hegemony, they do not yet agree among themselves on what the new alternative should be.
Evolution of BRICS
- It was attended mostly by recently decolonised states and independence movements intent on asserting themselves against Cold War superpowers – the Soviet Union and the United States.
- BRICS has come to be viewed as challenging the counter hegemony of the US and its allies, seen as meddling in the internal affairs of other states.
- Reuters estimates that more than 40 states are aspiring to join BRICS.
Expanded BRICS
- A strategically expanded BRICS would be seismic for the world order, principally in economic terms.
- Instead, the new joiners would likely use their new BRICS membership to better bargain with their western partners, having more options on hand.
- Read more:
Ethiopia wants to join the BRICS group of nations: an expert unpacks the pros and consHerein lies the challenge (and the paradox) with BRICS expansion.
Weighing the likely contenders
- In this regard, aspirants such as Saudi Arabia and Mexico seem the least likely to make the cut in the short term.
- That’s despite the Saudis’ oil wealth and Mexico’s leftist-progressive leader Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador.
- Saudi Arabia has a long-term military relationship with the US, while Mexico is the US’s number-one trading partner.
- Of equal importance in the evaluation of potential new members is the relationship the aspirants have with the existing BRICS members.
Character matters
- Having rivals, or states that are at least ambivalent towards each other, seems anathema to that.
- It is thus not mere expansion, but the character of the expansion which will guide the five principals on whether they grow from that number.