Niger: with a key deadline passed, Nigeria must take decisive steps to prevent a civil war in its neighborhood
West Africa is now bracing to see how Ecowas, which has threatened to take all steps, including military intervention, will react.
- West Africa is now bracing to see how Ecowas, which has threatened to take all steps, including military intervention, will react.
- Niger’s coup bears serious consequences for regional peace, security, and stability in west Africa, especially as it affects Nigeria and the already troubled Sahel region.
- The options now before Ecowas are to extend the deadline to give mediation and diplomatic efforts a chance, or to proceed with the threatened military intervention.
Jihadi insurgency threats
- Elsewhere in southern Niger there is overspill from violence in northern Nigeria involving jihadist groups, including Boko Haram and its breakaway faction, the Islamic State in the West African Province (ISWAP).
- To add to the instability, there are estimated to be as many 30,000 “bandits”, mainly operating in and around northern Nigeria.
- While described as “terrorists” by the Nigerian government, these are generally driven by economic and criminal, enterprises.
All eyes on Nigeria’s response
- The cost of previous Ecowas interventions, particularly in Liberia and Sierra Leone, has largely been borne by Nigeria.
- That would have calamitous consequences for the region and major implications for global security.