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The 'Gulf Stream' will not collapse in 2025: What the alarmist headlines got wrong

Retrieved on: 
Friday, August 4, 2023

“Be very worried: Gulf Stream collapse could spark global chaos by 2025” announced the New York Post.

Key Points: 
  • “Be very worried: Gulf Stream collapse could spark global chaos by 2025” announced the New York Post.
  • This latest alarmist rhetoric provides a textbook example of how not to communicate climate science.
  • These headlines do nothing to raise public awareness, let alone influence public policy to support climate solutions.

We see the world we describe

    • It is well known that climate anxiety is fuelled by media messaging about the looming climate crisis.
    • This is causing many to simply shut down and give up — believing we are all doomed and there is nothing anyone can do about it.
    • This is also not the first time such headlines have emerged.

The currents are not collapsing (anytime soon)

    • The latest series of alarmist headlines may not have fixated on an impending ice age, but they still suggest the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation could collapse by 2025.
    • This is an outrageous claim at best and a completely irresponsible pronouncement at worst.
    • The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has been assessing the likelihood of a cessation of deep-water formation in the North Atlantic for decades.
    • Other assessments, including the National Academy of Sciences Abrupt Impacts of Climate Change: Anticipating Surprises, published in 2013, also reached similar conclusions.

Understanding climate optimism

    • Ritchie persuasively argued that more people located in the green “optimistic and changeable” box are what is needed to advance climate solutions.
    • More importantly, rather than instilling a sense of optimism that global warming is a solvable problem, the extreme behaviour (fear mongering or civil disobedience) of the “pessimistic changeable” group (such as many within the Extinction Rebellion movement), often does nothing more than drive the public towards the “pessimistic not changeable” group.

A responsibility to communicate, responsibly

    • This is only amplified in situations where scientists make statements where creative licence is taken with speculative possibilities.
    • Climate scientists have agency in the advancement of climate solutions, and with that agency comes a responsibility to avoid sensationalism.

Dismantling the myth that ancient slavery 'wasn’t that bad'

Retrieved on: 
Thursday, August 3, 2023

The effects of ancient slavery, on the other hand, aren’t as tangible today – and most Americans have only a vague idea of what it looked like.

Key Points: 
  • The effects of ancient slavery, on the other hand, aren’t as tangible today – and most Americans have only a vague idea of what it looked like.
  • Some people might think of biblical stories, such as Joseph’s jealous brothers selling him into slavery.
  • But to understand slavery from that era – or to combat slavery today – we also need to understand the longer history of involuntary labor.
  • As a scholar of ancient slavery and early Christian history, I often encounter three myths that stand in the way of understanding ancient slavery and how systems of enslavement have evolved over time.

Myth #1: There is one kind of ‘biblical slavery’

    • Most importantly, the Hebrew Bible – what Christians call “the Old Testament” – emerged primarily in the ancient Near East, while the New Testament emerged in the early Roman Empire.
    • Rather, some people were temporarily enslaved to pay off their debts.
    • The most anyone can say is that no biblical texts or writers explicitly condemn the institution of enslavement or the practice of chattel slavery.

Myth #2: Ancient slavery was not as cruel

    • Like Myth #1, this myth often comes from conflating some Near Eastern and Egyptian practices of involuntary labor, such as debt slavery, with Greek and Roman chattel slavery.
    • By focusing on other forms of involuntary labor in specific ancient cultures, it is easy to overlook the widespread practice of chattel slavery and its harshness.
    • But even in an ancient world in which slavery was ever present, it is clear not everyone bought into the ideology of the elite enslavers.

Myth #3: Ancient slavery wasn’t discriminatory

    • Slavery in the ancient Mediterranean wasn’t based on race or skin color in the same way as the transatlantic slave trade, but this doesn’t mean ancient systems of enslavement weren’t discriminatory.
    • Much of the history of Greek and Roman slavery involves enslaving people from other groups: Athenians enslaving non-Athenians, Spartans enslaving non-Spartans, Romans enslaving non-Romans.
    • Ancient slavery still depended on categorizing some groups of people as “others,” treating them as though they were wholly different from those who enslaved them.

What does 'infanticide' mean in NZ law? And what must the jury decide in Lauren Dickason's trial?

Retrieved on: 
Monday, July 31, 2023

The current trial of Lauren Dickason is a case in point, and the jury has a complex task in front of it.

Key Points: 
  • The current trial of Lauren Dickason is a case in point, and the jury has a complex task in front of it.
  • The latter may seem like a statement of the obvious, given Dickason does not deny the killings.
  • What legislation and other sources of law mean is often contestable, and there may be specialised definitions.

Murder and manslaughter

    • But the language used reflects a structure that goes back to English law from centuries ago, and is split into two offences: murder and manslaughter.
    • Basically, murder is killing someone with “malice aforethought”, and manslaughter is any other culpable killing.
    • But variations were introduced largely to avoid the formerly mandatory death penalty for murder, by allowing the offence to be stepped down to manslaughter.
    • That condition was removed after Clayton Weatherston tried to use it in his trial for the 2008 murder of Sophie Elliott.

Infanticide and insanity

    • New Zealand has never had such “diminished responsibility” – except in relation to infanticide.
    • Infanticide has a legalistic meaning in the courtroom: it does not mean the killing of an infant.
    • But the legislation also notes that if the defendant’s disorder was so great that there was insanity, then there must be a “special verdict of acquittal on account of insanity caused by childbirth”.

Modern psychiatry and Victorian language

    • The law relating to insanity still uses language from Victorian times.
    • It applies to all offences, though it is most prominently used in homicide cases.
    • The doctors giving expert evidence have to try to mould modern understandings of psychiatry into this outdated legal framework, which has limited nuance to it.

The jury’s challenge

    • Having considered whether the deaths would otherwise have been murder or manslaughter, they will then have to consider whether the expert evidence shows there was some disturbance in her mental health.
    • If so, and if it was caused by childbirth or lactation, was it far enough down the line to amount to infanticide?

Cutting-edge new aircraft have increased NZ’s surveillance capacity – but are they enough in a changing world?

Retrieved on: 
Wednesday, July 26, 2023

A cutting-edge maritime surveillance aircraft, the P-8A is also operated by Australia, India, Norway, South Korea, the United Kingdom and the United States.

Key Points: 
  • A cutting-edge maritime surveillance aircraft, the P-8A is also operated by Australia, India, Norway, South Korea, the United Kingdom and the United States.
  • As well as search and rescue, the aircraft will conduct maritime surveillance and intelligence gathering, and are capable of anti-submarine and anti-surface warfare.
  • Air Vice-Marshal Andrew Clark describes the plane as “the modern standard in technology” for maritime surveillance.

Defence and military priorities

    • Its exclusive economic zone (EEZ) covers 4.4 million square km of ocean, a staggering 15 times larger than the land mass.
    • Intelligence, border security and resources agencies monitor commercial shipping and recreational boating in the EEZs of New Zealand, Niue and Raratonga.
    • P-8As will be able to conduct searches and drop life rafts and survival equipment – but they were ordered to meet future defence and security challenges.
    • The 2018 Strategic Defence Policy Statement warned of military, cybersecurity, transnational crime and terrorism threats.

Best use of resources

    • We are already witnessing increasing need for maritime surveillance with rising geopolitical tensions in the Asia-Pacific region, as foreign investment in submarines and warships increases.
    • Australian P-8As are currently monitoring two Chinese “spy ships” loitering near naval exercises off Australia.
    • Several states are stepping up activities on a warming continent that is strategically situated and potentially rich in mineral resources.
    • Four is a bare minimum, given how servicing or overseas deployment could leave only two locally based functioning aircraft.

Time for a maritime patrol review

    • Its Border Force agency contracts a commercial organisation, Surveillance Australia, to patrol the Australian EEZ for illegal fishing, immigration and quarantine breaches, and human, drug and arms trafficking.
    • Border Force’s Future Maritime Surveillance Capability Project seeks to update Australian maritime surveillance to be cost-effective, while also meeting the challenges of an evolving and complex national security environment.
    • New Zealand could also benefit from a fresh review to consider whether the modest fleet of P-8As should continue to be viewed as a multi-agency asset.
    • This would ensure best-practice military employment of the P-8A in response to national, regional and international defence challenges.

New Zealand's maritime territory is 15 times its landmass – here's why we need a ministry for the ocean

Retrieved on: 
Wednesday, July 26, 2023

The recent failure of the proposed Kermadec ocean sanctuary is a striking reminder of the need for leadership around New Zealand’s ocean policies.

Key Points: 
  • The recent failure of the proposed Kermadec ocean sanctuary is a striking reminder of the need for leadership around New Zealand’s ocean policies.
  • The “no take” ocean sanctuary was meant to be one of the world’s largest marine protected areas.
  • But last month Te Ohu Kaimoana (which represents Māori fisheries interests) voted against the latest proposal.

New Zealand’s vast ocean territory

    • Aotearoa is surrounded by a sea territory 15 times the size of its landmass.
    • This extends from the shorelines of the main islands to the Kermadecs (Rangitāhua) in the northwest, the Chathams (Rēkohu) in the east and the subantarctic Campbell Island in the south Pacific ocean.
    • Two in three New Zealanders live within 5km of the shore and many use the ocean and coasts for recreational and cultural activities.

An ecosystem approach to marine policy

    • This involves managing the marine environment in a way that reconciles competing values without degrading the ocean ecosystem.
    • A more holistic and relational ecosystem-based approach to managing human activities in the ocean would acknowledge the inter-dependencies between living and non-living marine ecosystem components, including people.
    • Read more:
      Our oceans are in deep trouble – a 'mountains to sea' approach could make a real difference

Fundamental principles driving oceans policy

    • Our research found we already have legal and policy “hooks” (or promising reform initiatives underway) that can support ecosystem-based management across the four key marine policy areas of fisheries, conservation, coastal planning and Māori rights and interests.
    • Each of these policy areas operates on different time and geographic scales and is working towards (sometimes vastly) different policy objectives, with varying budgets and resources.
    • To overcome this, our research confirmed we need to agree on fundamental marine principles to “anchor” ecosystem-based management and ensure our policy objectives are complementary and consistent with Te Tiriti o Waitangi.

A ministry for the ocean

    • Marine policy is still spread across multiple laws and institutions working for different purposes.
    • Recent environmental reforms have focused on land-based issues of resource management, conservation and climate adaptation, taking a sector-by-sector approach and overlooking the interconnected threats facing our ocean.
    • We go further and argue Aotearoa needs a ministry for the ocean to match the ministerial portfolio, reflecting the complexity of marine management and departing from the terrestrial bias of our existing laws and institutions.
    • A dedicated ministry could ensure oversight, coordination and alignment of marine policy.

New Zealand's maritime territory is 15 times its landmass -- here's why we need a ministry for the ocean

Retrieved on: 
Wednesday, July 26, 2023

The recent failure of the proposed Kermadec ocean sanctuary is a striking reminder of the need for leadership around New Zealand’s ocean policies.

Key Points: 
  • The recent failure of the proposed Kermadec ocean sanctuary is a striking reminder of the need for leadership around New Zealand’s ocean policies.
  • The “no take” ocean sanctuary was meant to be one of the world’s largest marine protected areas.
  • But last month Te Ohu Kaimoana (which represents Māori fisheries interests) voted against the latest proposal.

New Zealand’s vast ocean territory

    • Aotearoa is surrounded by a sea territory 15 times the size of its landmass.
    • This extends from the shorelines of the main islands to the Kermadecs (Rangitāhua) in the northwest, the Chathams (Rēkohu) in the east and the subantarctic Campbell Island in the south Pacific ocean.
    • Two in three New Zealanders live within 5km of the shore and many use the ocean and coasts for recreational and cultural activities.

An ecosystem approach to marine policy

    • This involves managing the marine environment in a way that reconciles competing values without degrading the ocean ecosystem.
    • A more holistic and relational ecosystem-based approach to managing human activities in the ocean would acknowledge the inter-dependencies between living and non-living marine ecosystem components, including people.
    • Read more:
      Our oceans are in deep trouble – a 'mountains to sea' approach could make a real difference

Fundamental principles driving oceans policy

    • Our research found we already have legal and policy “hooks” (or promising reform initiatives underway) that can support ecosystem-based management across the four key marine policy areas of fisheries, conservation, coastal planning and Māori rights and interests.
    • Each of these policy areas operates on different time and geographic scales and is working towards (sometimes vastly) different policy objectives, with varying budgets and resources.
    • To overcome this, our research confirmed we need to agree on fundamental marine principles to “anchor” ecosystem-based management and ensure our policy objectives are complementary and consistent with Te Tiriti o Waitangi.

A ministry for the ocean

    • Marine policy is still spread across multiple laws and institutions working for different purposes.
    • Recent environmental reforms have focused on land-based issues of resource management, conservation and climate adaptation, taking a sector-by-sector approach and overlooking the interconnected threats facing our ocean.
    • We go further and argue Aotearoa needs a ministry for the ocean to match the ministerial portfolio, reflecting the complexity of marine management and departing from the terrestrial bias of our existing laws and institutions.
    • A dedicated ministry could ensure oversight, coordination and alignment of marine policy.

Rastafarians gathering for the 131st birthday of Emperor Haile Selassie are still grappling with his reported death in 1975

Retrieved on: 
Wednesday, July 19, 2023

Estimated to number between 700,000 and 1,000,000 globally, Rastafarian communities are located on almost every continent today.

Key Points: 
  • Estimated to number between 700,000 and 1,000,000 globally, Rastafarian communities are located on almost every continent today.
  • Their beliefs are spread through migration, reggae music, as well as print, visual and digital media.
  • Similarly, Rastafarians are of the view that Emperor Selassie is God, or Jah, who manifested in human form, and that they are God’s chosen people.

God as monarch

    • Rastafarians believe that the king traces his lineage to the Old Testament’s King David of the Tribe of Judah, and to David’s son, King Solomon.
    • Rastafarians view the king’s coronation in 1930, his titles and his lineage as fulfilling a prophecy in the Book of Revelation.
    • The Rastafari, named for their god – King Ras Tafari – grew from a tiny community to number in the tens of thousands in Jamaica by the 1990s, as I explain in my 2022 book “Rastafari: The Evolution of a People and Their Identity.”

The travails of worshiping a Black god

    • From the 1930s into the 1970s the Rastafari were scorned by their fellow Jamaicans, subjected to discrimination and violence.
    • Some critics asserted that the Rastafari finally had been proved foolish and that their God was dead.
    • Bob Marley rebuffed the critics in his acclaimed song, “Jah Live” (meaning God lives).

What happens if God dies?

    • Some denied Emperor Selassie was dead, insisting that God cannot die, and no body was found to confirm the death.
    • Others said only time would reveal the meaning of the emperor’s disappearance, since God’s ways are beyond the ken of mortals.
    • Some others believed that the emperor was worthy of veneration but not as God.

Rastafarians gathering for the 131st birthday of Emperor Haile Selassie are still grappling with his reported death in 1966

Retrieved on: 
Wednesday, July 19, 2023

Estimated to number between 700,000 and 1,000,000 globally, Rastafarian communities are located on almost every continent today.

Key Points: 
  • Estimated to number between 700,000 and 1,000,000 globally, Rastafarian communities are located on almost every continent today.
  • Their beliefs are spread through migration, reggae music, as well as print, visual and digital media.
  • Similarly, Rastafarians are of the view that Emperor Selassie is God, or Jah, who manifested in human form, and that they are God’s chosen people.

God as monarch

    • Rastafarians believe that the king traces his lineage to the Old Testament’s King David of the Tribe of Judah, and to David’s son, King Solomon.
    • Rastafarians view the king’s coronation in 1930, his titles and his lineage as fulfilling a prophecy in the Book of Revelation.
    • The Rastafari, named for their god – King Ras Tafari – grew from a tiny community to number in the tens of thousands in Jamaica by the 1990s, as I explain in my 2022 book “Rastafari: The Evolution of a People and Their Identity.”

The travails of worshiping a Black god

    • From the 1930s into the 1970s the Rastafari were scorned by their fellow Jamaicans, subjected to discrimination and violence.
    • Some critics asserted that the Rastafari finally had been proved foolish and that their God was dead.
    • Bob Marley rebuffed the critics in his acclaimed song, “Jah Live” (meaning God lives).

What happens if God dies?

    • Some denied Emperor Selassie was dead, insisting that God cannot die, and no body was found to confirm the death.
    • Others said only time would reveal the meaning of the emperor’s disappearance, since God’s ways are beyond the ken of mortals.
    • Some others believed that the emperor was worthy of veneration but not as God.

Actors are demanding that Hollywood catch up with technological changes in a sequel to a 1960 strike

Retrieved on: 
Monday, July 17, 2023

For the first time since 1960, actors and screenwriters are on strike at the same time.

Key Points: 
  • For the first time since 1960, actors and screenwriters are on strike at the same time.
  • Screenwriters, who have been on strike since May 2, have similar concerns.
  • Premieres are being canceled, and Emmy-nominated actors aren’t campaigning for those prestigious TV awards.

Rewind to the rise of TV

    • The first hit shows on TV aired in the mid-1940s, but actors initially earned far less from television than movies.
    • Around 1960, with the advent of hits like “Leave It to Beaver,” “Beverly Hillbillies” and “Bonanza,” TV became very profitable.
    • Actors demanded that their craft be compensated for TV shows about as highly as for their film appearances.
    • Residuals are a form of royalty paid to actors when movies and TV shows air on television after their initial run.

Fast-forward to 2023

    • People consume different types of media through subscriptions and streaming technology than they do while watching broadcast TV and cable television.
    • Actors and writers are concerned that their compensation hasn’t kept up with this transformation.
    • And the actors who are on strike argue that the formulas in place since 1960 to calculate residuals don’t work anymore.

Ejecting regularly scheduled shows

    • That’s because streamers started making shows with lower budgets, as it costs less to produce fewer episodes.
    • Since actors are typically paid per episode in which they perform, their salaries have dropped by virtue of having fewer appearances in even the most popular shows.
    • Another change has to do with the question of whether particular shows will keep going.
    • And their contracts often stop them from working on other shows between seasons.

Will AI erase actors?

    • Without a contract that says otherwise, once a studio films an actor, it can potentially use the actor’s likeness in perpetuity.
    • It is dystopian.” Until now, actors and writers say, the studios have refused to negotiate over AI with actors or writers.
    • But both unions see AI as a threat to their members’ livelihoods, a point SAG-AFTRA President Fran Drescher made on MSNBC.

No ‘pause’ for widening inequality gap

    • The gulf between what actors and top executives earn is a major difference between today’s actors and writer strikes and the 1960 strikes.
    • In 1965, executives made 15 times the average salary of their workers.
    • By 2021 those top execs were earning 350 times more than the average worker – including actors.

Watching union action on repeat

    • From Starbucks baristas to Amazon’s union organizers to the workers planning the pending UPS strike, more and more Americans are fighting for higher wages and more control over their schedules.
    • In fighting threats to their livelihoods, actors and screenwriters are the latest example of a national movement for stronger labor rights.

More than mumblecore and bigger than Barbie – who is Greta Gerwig?

Retrieved on: 
Friday, July 14, 2023

With the new Barbie movie, Greta Gerwig is joining an elite class female filmmakers.

Key Points: 
  • With the new Barbie movie, Greta Gerwig is joining an elite class female filmmakers.
  • Alongside Ava DuVernay, Patty Jenkins and Kathryn Bigelow, Gerwig is one of only a few women to direct a live-action film with a budget of US$100 million.
  • She is known for her dedication to telling women’s stories with heart and humour, and an intimate “indie” style of film-making.

Mumblecore

    • Due to the improvisational nature of mumblecore films, the cast often shares writing credit, taking an active role in constructing dialogue, character and story.
    • Andrew Bujalski’s Funny Ha Ha (2002) is generally considered to be the first mumblecore film.
    • We can see the influence of mumblecore in TV shows like Girls (2012-2017), Broad City (2014-2019) and High Maintenance (2016-2020).

Indie darling

    • After her mumblecore success, Gerwig began working as an actor with more established indie writer-directors, such as Woody Allen in To Rome with Love (2012), Whit Stillman in Damsels in Distress (2011), and Rebecca Miller in Maggie’s Plan (2015).
    • Gerwig quickly established herself as a quirky leading lady who The New York Times’ film critic, A.O.
    • Scott, describes as “more goose than swan … big-boned and a little slouchy, indifferent to the imperatives of gracefulness”.
    • In recent years, Gerwig has moved increasingly behind the camera, starting with her directorial debut, Lady Bird (2017).

A director

    • Gerwig was nominated for writing and directing, making her only the fifth woman to be nominated for the best director award.
    • Perhaps owing to her career as a writer and actor, Lady Bird catapulted Gerwig onto many “directors to watch” lists.
    • Lady Bird also established Gerwig’s investment in femininity, women’s culture and the lives of young women, which are historically devalued.
    • Given her track record of honouring femininity, intimacy, domesticity and women’s culture, I think Barbie is in safe hands with Gerwig.