Nord Stream

Energy bills: how households could feel the cold this winter

Retrieved on: 
Thursday, October 26, 2023

Of course, energy isn’t the only rising cost in the current inflation-led economy, which has caused most households to see a decline in disposable income since last winter.

Key Points: 
  • Of course, energy isn’t the only rising cost in the current inflation-led economy, which has caused most households to see a decline in disposable income since last winter.
  • Compounding this, even if energy prices are lower this winter than last, some households will struggle to pay their energy bills because they are still carrying significant energy debts.
  • This explains why many households are so exposed to changes in global gas prices.

What’s in your bill?

  • This charge differs depending on the type of fuel you use, where you live and how you pay for your energy.
  • The standing charge covers the costs to the energy companies of supplying your gas and electricity and supporting various government initiatives.
  • Last winter, the government helped all households with a universal £400 payment under the Energy Support Bill.

An easily spooked market

  • Russian pipeline gas continues to flow into southern Europe via Ukraine and Turkey, and Russia continues to supply liquefied natural gas (LNG) to Europe.
  • This means the market could be easily spooked by any interruption in gas supply, causing a short-term price spike.
  • Although these events had a minimal real impact on global supply, price spikes at the time show just how easily “spooked” the gas market is.
  • The main issue is whether or not Asian, and particularly Chinese, demand for LNG will be higher than last year, reducing gas availability for Europe.
  • China is still struggling economically post-COVID, which could push down energy demand from the world’s second-largest economy.
  • In the winter months, long spells of cold, gloomy weather with no wind drive up gas demand to compensate for the lack of renewable generation.
  • We also have to hope that France’s nuclear power stations stay online after a record number of outages last year.
  • If not, heightened gas demand in continental Europe would mean the UK has to pay more to buy gas from Europe’s stores.


Michael Bradshaw receives funding from the UK Energy System Research Programme and EPSRC in relation to his role as Co-Director for the UK Energy Research Centre (UKERC). He also advises Government, Think-Tanks and Companies on energy matters.

Ukraine war: Kremlin's threat to interfere with undersea data cables may be bluster, but must be taken seriously

Retrieved on: 
Tuesday, June 20, 2023

Medvedev claimed such rights against the background of recent media reports on the mysterious sabotage of the Nord Stream undersea gas pipeline last year.

Key Points: 
  • Medvedev claimed such rights against the background of recent media reports on the mysterious sabotage of the Nord Stream undersea gas pipeline last year.
  • The question of who was behind the attacks on the pipelines in the Baltic Sea on September 26 2022, however, remains unresolved.
  • But the speculation stretches from western special forces or Ukrainian groups being behind the attack to it being a well-orchestrated Russian operation.

Vulnerable undersea cables

    • As we have shown in a report to the European parliament of last year, subsea cables are the backbone of the contemporary digital economy.
    • According to SubTelForum’s Submarine Cable Almanac as of the beginning of 2023, there were 380 cables in Europe on the ocean floor, mostly the size of a garden hose.
    • If Russia is serious about its threats to cut cables, the main economic cost would be for repair work.
    • For instance, several important cables surface in the port of Marseilles – and the English channel and the Red Sea have a high density of cables.

What’s behind the threat?

    • Probably, this is also a message to two security events happening in the coming days and weeks and meant to increase the feeling of vulnerability and uncertainty.
    • At the end of May, Ireland commenced a national consultative forum on security – online and on four separate days at the end of June.
    • Ireland’s foreign minister, Micheál Martin, said the aim was to build public understanding and generate discussions on our foreign, security and defence policies.
    • The particular focus would be on how Ireland wants to respond to the new security environment and whether to seek Nato membership.

Ukraine recap: diplomatic manoeuvres intensify in advance of a possible spring offensive

Retrieved on: 
Friday, April 28, 2023

The rising mercury has fuelled speculation that Ukraine’s much discussed spring offensive is just around the corner, the only questions being when and where Ukraine’s military planners intend to make their big push.

Key Points: 
  • The rising mercury has fuelled speculation that Ukraine’s much discussed spring offensive is just around the corner, the only questions being when and where Ukraine’s military planners intend to make their big push.
  • Some observers have noted that Ukraine has achieved a bridgehead on the eastern side of the Dnipro River, which could foreshadow a major push southwards towards Crimea.
  • You can also subscribe to our fortnightly recap of expert analysis of the conflict in Ukraine.
  • Moscow’s political objectives, Harink warns, might be as much about involving the west in a lengthy and debilitating conflict.

The Russian front

    • One of the centrepieces is the march of the Immortals Regiment in which thousands parade with pictures of loved ones who gave their lives in defence of the homeland.
    • Dina Fainberg, an expert in modern history at City, University of London, tells the story of how Victory day become Russia’s biggest national celebration.
    • Imagine if thousands of people turned up to march carrying pictures of loved ones killed in Putin’s “special military operation”.
    • Read more:
      'Stalin-style' show trials and unexplained deaths of opposition figures show the depth of repression in Putin's Russia

Further afield (and on sea)

Russian 'spy ship' in North Sea raises concerns about the vulnerability of key maritime infrastructure

Retrieved on: 
Thursday, April 20, 2023

The film, which has been widely reported in the UK press this week, asserts that Russia is systematically mapping the vulnerabilities of maritime infrastructure in the North Sea.

Key Points: 
  • The film, which has been widely reported in the UK press this week, asserts that Russia is systematically mapping the vulnerabilities of maritime infrastructure in the North Sea.
  • We have known for a long time that Russian forces are mapping maritime infrastructures, including wind farms, communication cables and pipelines.
  • In 2013, I was taken on a Royal Navy vessel to the North Sea where part of its mission was to look out for Russian spy ships.

Nord Stream sabotage

    • The sabotage of the Nord Stream gas pipeline in September 2022, in which a core energy pipeline was destroyed in the Baltic Sea, raised significant concerns in the west about the damage a hostile power could do by destroying or disrupting this important energy or information infrastructure.
    • The culprit behind the Nord Stream sabotage has not yet been identified.
    • Read more:
      Nord Stream pipeline sabotage: how an attack could have been carried out and why Europe was defenceless

      Nato and the EU have rolled out ambitious plans for improving the resilience of maritime infrastructure.

Why the North Sea is so significant

    • The gas and oil supplies of the North Sea are an important resource for the entire European energy market.
    • The North Sea is hence vital to reduce dependency on fossil fuels and lower CO₂ emissions.
    • But given what we now suspect about Russian intelligence and possible sabotage activities, the North Sea now needs to be seen as a vulnerable and critical strategic security space.
    • A concerted act of sabotage, damaging underwater electricity cables, for instance, can do significant harm to energy markets.

Importance of rapid repair

    • But as of now, these key repair capacities – such as specialised repair vessels and cable depots are severely limited in Europe.
    • New models of how security policy and the industry can work together to develop strategic repair capacities are required.

North American LNG Sector Is Getting Crowded, an Industrial Info News Alert

Retrieved on: 
Friday, March 24, 2023

Combined, the three facilities offer something rare for Canada -- access to markets outside of North America. But it may come with a catch. Federal forecasts show marketable Canadian natural gas production may have topped out at 15.5 billion cubic feet per day in 2020 and is on pace for a slow, but steady decline to about 13 billion cubic feet per day by 2050.

Key Points: 
  • The provincial government of British Columbia opted to let the US$7.2 billion floating Ksi Lisims LNG facility enter the environmental review process.
  • Subscribers to Industrial Info's Global Market Intelligence (GMI) Production Project Database can click here for more details.
  • Combined, the three facilities offer something rare for Canada -- access to markets outside of North America.
  • Industrial Info Resources (IIR) is the leading provider of industrial market intelligence.

Cool Company Ltd. Q3 2022 Business Update

Retrieved on: 
Wednesday, November 16, 2022

Due to idle days prior to the September delivery of the $140,000 per day re-contracted vessel, Q3 2022 fleet utilization was 95%.

Key Points: 
  • Due to idle days prior to the September delivery of the $140,000 per day re-contracted vessel, Q3 2022 fleet utilization was 95%.
  • As of September 30, 2022, CoolCo had cash and cash equivalents of $94.8 million and total short and long-term debt of $657.4 million.
  • Of these, EPS hold 26,790,545 shares, equivalent to approximately 49.9% of the Company, Golar holds 4,463,846 shares, equivalent to approximately 8.3% of the Company and the public holds 22,434,071 shares, equivalent to approximately 41.8% of the Company.
  • The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise unless required by law.

RANE Scenario Planning Session for the Historic Energy Crisis in Europe

Retrieved on: 
Thursday, October 13, 2022

NEW YORK, Oct. 13, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- RANE (Risk Assistance Network + Exchange) will host a special virtual briefing session examining the outlook for the global energy market on October 19 at 9:00 am EDT / 2:00 pm BST.

Key Points: 
  • NEW YORK, Oct. 13, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- RANE (Risk Assistance Network + Exchange) will host a special virtual briefing session examining the outlook for the global energy market on October 19 at 9:00 am EDT / 2:00 pm BST.
  • European energy markets were roiled when Russia invaded Ukraine in early 2022.
  • Supplies tightened after the West imposed sanctions on Russia, and after an alleged act of sabotage, Nordstream 1 is severely damaged and unable to deliver natural gas to Europe.
  • Join the millions who are tapping into the collective wisdom of the worlds largest community of risk and business professionals.

G7 Leaders' Statement

Retrieved on: 
Tuesday, October 11, 2022

We, the leaders of the Group of Seven (G7), convened today with Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

Key Points: 
  • We, the leaders of the Group of Seven (G7), convened today with Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
  • The G7 firmly condemn and unequivocally reject the illegal attempted annexation by Russia of Ukraine's Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhya and Kherson regions in addition to the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and the City of Sevastopol.
  • In solidarity with Ukraine, the G7 Leaders welcome President Zelenskyy's readiness for a just peace.
  • We will act in solidarity and close coordination to address the negative impact of Russia's aggression for global economic stability, including by continuing to cooperate to ensure energy security and affordability across the G7 and beyond.

Intellistocks Cuts 2022 Year-End Target for S&P 500 by 18%

Retrieved on: 
Tuesday, October 4, 2022

Financial Centre, Dubai--(Newsfile Corp. - October 4, 2022) - The strategists at leading investment advising firm Intellistocks have lowered their end-of-year S&P 500 objective from 3,900 to 3,200, and revised their target for 2023 at 4,200.

Key Points: 
  • Financial Centre, Dubai--(Newsfile Corp. - October 4, 2022) - The strategists at leading investment advising firm Intellistocks have lowered their end-of-year S&P 500 objective from 3,900 to 3,200, and revised their target for 2023 at 4,200.
  • At Intellistocks research desk, it is an interesting point considering that it was just in June they were answering the question of "when will this bear market end?"
  • As per the internal data analysis done by Intellistocks research team: Last week, traders of fifty or more contracts bought to open nearly five million put options.
  • Intellistocks has a number of portfolio buckets that are spread out over different international markets and places.

LexisNexis Risk Solutions Report Reveals the Yearly Cost of Financial Crime Compliance Reaching $56.7 Billion, a 13.6% Increase for Financial Institutions in the United States and Canada Combined

Retrieved on: 
Thursday, September 29, 2022

ATLANTA, Sept. 29, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- LexisNexis® Risk Solutions released the results of its 2022 True Cost of Financial Crime Compliance Study – U.S. and Canada Report. The annual True Cost of Financial Crime Compliance Study compiles responses of compliance professionals to identify the drivers and influencers affecting financial crime compliance and highlights spending trends. The study found that the cost of financial crime compliance has continued its rise over pre-pandemic levels, up 13.6% since 2021, to approximately U.S. $56.7 billion in the U.S. and Canada combined.

Key Points: 
  • The annual True Cost of Financial Crime Compliance Study compiles responses of compliance professionals to identify the drivers and influencers affecting financial crime compliance and highlights spending trends.
  • A significant majority of U.S. (73%) and Canadian (86%) financial institutions reported an increase in financial crime compliance costs in a 12-month period beginning in April or May 2021.
  • The average annual cost of financial crime compliance per organization has increased most among mid/large U.S. financial institutions, up to 14%.
  • Key Findings from the Report:
    The cost of financial crime compliance has continued to increase although the rate of increase may be leveling off.