Luis de Guindos: Interview with Süddeutsche Zeitung
There are indeed some favourable developments which are alleviating the pressure of inflation, including the easing of energy prices you mention.
- There are indeed some favourable developments which are alleviating the pressure of inflation, including the easing of energy prices you mention.
- *Aren’t employees justified in asking for higher wages to offset inflation?
- Parties in the ongoing wage negotiations are looking back to the high inflation of the past year.
- But inflation will abate in the course of the year: we expect an average inflation rate of around 6% this year, with 3.6% in the last quarter.
- The trade unions may, however, be inclined to ask for excessive pay rises.
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If we enter into a wage-price spiral, the ECB will have to raise interest rates by more than would otherwise have been needed. - Governments need to offer support to those who are worst affected, by introducing targeted subsidies to mitigate the impact of inflation.
- People could then reduce their wage demands and the ECB would not have to tighten its monetary policy so much.
- But this inflation was caused by extraordinary shocks: the sudden reopening of the economy after the pandemic and the war against Ukraine.
- The best thing we can do is to bring inflation back down to our target of 2% as soon as possible.
- Their profit margins shot up recently, making them more resilient, partly due to higher interest rates.
- We are of course keeping a close eye on the non-bank financial sector, or shadow banks.
- Two years ago, for example, the difficulties at the private investment firm Archegos caused several banks to suffer major losses.