Pressure

South Korean President Yoon faces foreign policy challenges after the National Assembly election

Retrieved on: 
Friday, April 19, 2024

South Korea’s parliamentary election of April 10, 2024, was widely seen as a referendum on President Yoon Suk Yeol’s first two years in office.

Key Points: 
  • South Korea’s parliamentary election of April 10, 2024, was widely seen as a referendum on President Yoon Suk Yeol’s first two years in office.
  • With a relatively high turnout of 67%, voters handed Yoon’s conservative People’s Power Party defeat, with its share of the 300-seat National Assembly dropping from 114 to 108.

Growing domestic pressure

  • Subsequently, Yoon’s government has seen key parts of its agenda for education, labor and pension reforms blocked.
  • But the election saw the DP and other opposition parties amass 192 seats, just short of a veto-proof, two-thirds majority.
  • Though Yoon retains veto power, there is now growing uncertainty over whether ruling PPP assembly members will continue defending the president’s actions if and when the two probes move forward.

A trickier foreign policy climate

  • Under South Korea’s political system, the presidency has greater leeway in national security and foreign affairs than in domestic policy.
  • As such, the Yoon government will likely continue its foreign policy of expanding trilateral partnerships with the U.S. and Japan, building ties with NATO and striving to be a “global pivotal” state in the Asia-Pacific region.
  • The opposition might not directly stop Yoon from pursuing his foreign policy, but they are likely to pressure the president to pay attention to domestic political issues.
  • If the Yoon government cannot demonstrate diplomatic successes, opposition parties are likely to frame his foreign policy as one-sided “subservient diplomacy.” Yoon has three years to show that his foreign policy has paid dividends; South Korea’s next presidential election is in the spring of 2027.


Jong Eun Lee does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

Are tomorrow’s engineers ready to face AI’s ethical challenges?

Retrieved on: 
Friday, April 19, 2024

A test version of a Roomba vacuum collects images of users in private situations.

Key Points: 
  • A test version of a Roomba vacuum collects images of users in private situations.
  • The general public depends on software engineers and computer scientists to ensure these technologies are created in a safe and ethical manner.
  • What’s more, some appear apathetic about the moral dilemmas their careers may bring – just as advances in AI intensify such dilemmas.

Aware, but unprepared

  • We asked students about their experiences with ethical challenges in engineering, their knowledge of ethical dilemmas in the field and how they would respond to scenarios in the future.
  • When asked, however, “Do you feel equipped to respond in concerning or unethical situations?” students often said no.
  • “Do YOU know who I’m supposed to go to?” Another was troubled by the lack of training: “I [would be] dealing with that with no experience.


Other researchers have similarly found that many engineering students do not feel satisfied with the ethics training they do receive. Common training usually emphasizes professional codes of conduct, rather than the complex socio-technical factors underlying ethical decision-making. Research suggests that even when presented with particular scenarios or case studies, engineering students often struggle to recognize ethical dilemmas.

‘A box to check off’

  • A study assessing undergraduate STEM curricula in the U.S. found that coverage of ethical issues varied greatly in terms of content, amount and how seriously it is presented.
  • Additionally, an analysis of academic literature about engineering education found that ethics is often considered nonessential training.
  • [Misusage] issues are not their concern.” One of us, Erin Cech, followed a cohort of 326 engineering students from four U.S. colleges.
  • Following them after they left college, we found that their concerns regarding ethics did not rebound once these new graduates entered the workforce.

Joining the work world

  • When engineers do receive ethics training as part of their degree, it seems to work.
  • Along with engineering professor Cynthia Finelli, we conducted a survey of over 500 employed engineers.
  • Over a quarter of these practicing engineers reported encountering a concerning ethical situation at work.
  • Yet approximately one-third said they have never received training in public welfare – not during their education, and not during their career.


Elana Goldenkoff receives funding from National Science Foundation and Schmidt Futures. Erin A. Cech receives funding from the National Science Foundation.

Peter Higgs’ famous particle discovery is now at the heart of strategies to unlock the secrets of the universe

Retrieved on: 
Friday, April 19, 2024

His unparalleled legacy, epitomised by the discovery of the Higgs boson, continues to profoundly shape the future of particle physics like no other discovery before it.

Key Points: 
  • His unparalleled legacy, epitomised by the discovery of the Higgs boson, continues to profoundly shape the future of particle physics like no other discovery before it.
  • When Higgs was born in 1929, our understanding of matter was completely different.
  • Physicists had developed a simple model of matter with three fundamental, or elementary, particles (those that can’t be broken down into smaller particles).
  • At the time Higgs began working on his ideas in the 1960s, the question of how elementary particles acquired mass was a central issue in physics.
  • However, for a theory that should explain mass, a viable solution couldn’t depend on a specific medium or material.
  • Later, Higgs and other theorists developed a model that overcame this difficulty.
  • On July 4 2012, images of Higgs, moved to tears by the announcement, went around the world.
  • In the decade since its discovery, many of these interactions have been observed at the LHC.
  • If current measurements of that particle are correct, the universe isn’t stable in its current state.
  • To answer these questions, Europe, the US and China have proposed plans for building new particle colliders focused on studying the Higgs boson.
  • It would be entirely fitting if Peter Higgs’ legacy, which transformed our understanding of particle physics, also transformed our approach to research.


Martin Bauer does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

Why you shouldn’t be afraid to start running after middle age

Retrieved on: 
Friday, April 19, 2024

As someone who started marathon running in mid-life, I know how many aches and pains (and doubts) you can have if you take on the challenge to start running at an older age.

Key Points: 
  • As someone who started marathon running in mid-life, I know how many aches and pains (and doubts) you can have if you take on the challenge to start running at an older age.
  • Hobbling around my orthopaedic hospital after my first marathon actually led me to do research on runners.
  • The high-resolution MRI scans found most of the 115 middle-aged participants had abnormalities in their knees before starting marathon training.
  • But while osteoarthritis is more common after middle age, it may actually be a lack of activity that leads to osteoarthritis.
  • Reduced muscle use, whether it is through inactivity or sarcopenia or both, also reduces the production of anti-inflammatory myokines from the muscles.
  • These chemicals are released when we exercise, and help reduce joint swelling and calm irritated joint linings.
  • This effect is pronounced in runners because running uses some of the largest muscles in the body – such as the glutes, quadriceps and hamstrings.

Where to begin

  • If you want to start running, the main message is to ease into it to reduce the risk of injury.
  • One of the best ways to ease into running in mid-life is the NHS Couch to 5K running programme.
  • It’s a free guide that will help you gradually work up towards running 5km in just nine weeks.
  • If you’ve experienced any of these problems, you’ll want to be careful when exercising to avoid further damage.


Alister Hart receives funding from 3 charities: The Rosetrees Trust, Arthroplasty for Arthritis and The Maurice Hatter Foundation.

Israel hits back at Iran: How domestic politics is determining Israeli actions

Retrieved on: 
Friday, April 19, 2024

Notably, Israel’s strike against Iran appears to have been more symbolic than substantive.

Key Points: 
  • Notably, Israel’s strike against Iran appears to have been more symbolic than substantive.
  • Nevertheless, the overnight Israeli strike is the latest escalation in tensions between the two countries.

Reputations at stake

  • To do otherwise would have damaged the Iranian government’s reputation among both its allies and its citizens.
  • But the form that Iranian retaliation took is a key indication of Iran’s intentions.
  • Israel’s Iron Dome missile defence system and U.S. military bases in the region made the likely impact of Iran’s attack minimal.

The proxy dilemma

  • Since the Iranian Revolution, Iran, through the Quds Force and its predecessors, has actively courted several proxy groups in the Middle East to increase its strategic influence.
  • Hezbollah came into existence in response to Israel’s invasion of southern Lebanon in the 1980s, and received extensive support from Iran.
  • While these proxy groups have increased Iran’s political influence and strategic options in the Middle East, they can simultaneously be a burden for the country’s leadership because they aren’t under Iran’s complete control.
  • For Iran, this presents a strategic dilemma.

A coalition of many

  • The 2022 elections returned a fractured Knesset, and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was only able to form a coalition government that included several far-right parties.
  • The small size of his majority meant that far-right partners were able to demand concessions to support his government.
  • The government’s inability to negotiate a release for the remaining hostages held by Hamas remains a festering wound in Israeli politics.
  • National Unity’s leader, Benny Gantz, formed a war cabinet with Netanyahu and Israeli Defence Minister Yoav Gallant to direct the war effort.

Netanyahu’s hand forced?

  • The smaller far-right parties in Netanyahu’s coalition that are outside the war cabinet, however, likely forced the prime minister’s hand.
  • National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, leader of the ultra-nationalist Otzma Yehudit party, has stated that Israel needs to “go crazy” in its response.

What’s next?

  • It eliminated a leader of the Quds Force, and Iran’s retaliation did not manage to breach the defences of Israel or its allies.
  • Now, the world waits to see if Israel’s latest strike against Iran leads to a broader regional escalation.


James Horncastle does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

Central bank asset purchases and auction cycles revisited: new evidence from the euro area

Retrieved on: 
Friday, April 19, 2024

Working Paper Series

Key Points: 
    • Working Paper Series
      Federico Maria Ferrara

      Central bank asset purchases
      and auction cycles revisited:
      new evidence from the euro area

      No 2927

      Disclaimer: This paper should not be reported as representing the views of the European Central Bank
      (ECB).

    • Abstract
      This study provides new evidence on the relationship between unconventional monetary
      policy and auction cycles in the euro area.
    • The findings indicate that Eurosystem?s asset purchase flows mitigate
      yield cycles during auction periods and counteract the amplification impact of market volatility.
    • The dampening effect of central bank asset purchases on auction cycles is more sizeable and
      precisely estimated for purchases of securities with medium-term maturities and in jurisdictions
      with relatively lower credit ratings.
    • On the other hand, central banks may influence price dynamics in these markets, most notably
      through their asset purchase programmes.
    • If so, do central bank asset purchases
      affect bond yield movements around auction dates?
    • Auction cycles are present when secondary market yields rise in
      anticipation of a debt auction and fall thereafter, generating an inverted V-shaped pattern around auction
      dates.
    • ECB Working Paper Series No 2927

      3

      1

      Introduction

      The impact of central bank asset purchases on government bond markets is a focal point of economic and
      financial research.

    • If so,
      do central bank asset purchases shape yield sensitivity around auction dates?
    • The paper provides new evidence on the effects of Eurosystem?s asset purchases on secondary market
      yields around public debt auction dates.
    • The analysis builds on previous research based on aggregate data
      on central bank asset purchases and a shorter analysis period (van Spronsen and Beetsma 2022).
    • Using
      granular data on Eurosystem?s asset purchases offers an opportunity to shed light on the mechanisms linking
      unconventional monetary policy and auction cycles.
    • Given this legal constraint, the study
      hypothesises that the effect of asset purchases on 10-year auction cycles is mostly indirect, and goes via price
      spillovers generated by purchases of securities outside the 10-year maturity space.
    • Taken together, these results provide new evidence about auction cycles in Europe and contribute to a
      larger literature on the flow effects of central bank asset purchases on bond markets.
    • Section 4 offers descriptive evidence about auction cycles in the euro area.
    • Auction cycles are defined by the presence of an inverted V-shaped pattern in secondary market yields
      around primary auctions.
    • That is, government bond yields rise in the run-up to the date of the auction and
      fall back to their original level after the auction.
    • Their limited risk-bearing capacities and inventory management operations are
      seen as key mechanisms driving auction cycles (Beetsma et al.
    • ECB Working Paper Series No 2927

      7

      Second, central bank asset purchases can alleviate the cycle by (partly) absorbing the additional supply
      of substitutable instruments in the secondary market (van Spronsen and Beetsma 2022).

    • This expectation is
      supported by several analyses on the price effects of central bank bond purchases (D?Amico and King 2013;
      Arrata and Nguyen 2017; De Santis and Holm-Hadulla 2020).
    • Empirically, previous research has provided evidence of auction cycles taking place across different jurisdictions.
    • (2016) detect auction cycles for government debt in Italy, but not in Germany, during the European
      sovereign debt crisis.
    • Research on the impact of central bank asset purchases on yield cycles around auctions is still limited.
    • Their paper provides evidence
      that Eurosystem?s asset purchases reduce the presence of auction cycles for euro area government debt.
    • Nonetheless, several questions remain open about auction cycles and unconventional monetary policy
      in the euro area.
    • Therefore, they
      provide only a partial picture of auction cycles and central bank asset purchases in Europe.
    • The use of granular data on central bank asset purchases is especially important in light of the modalities
      of monetary policy implementation of the Eurosystem.
    • Altogether, these elements motivate further investigation of the relationship between central bank asset
      purchases and auction cycles in the euro area.
    • Taken together, these results confirm that Eurosystem?s asset purchases mitigate yield cycles during auction periods and counteract the amplification impact of market volatility.
    • The findings confirm that the flow
      effects of central bank purchases on yield movements around auction dates are driven by lower-rated countries.
    • Additional analyses provide evidence for an indirect effect of purchases on auction cycles and highlight
      the presence of substantial heterogeneity across jurisdictions and purchase programmes.
    • Flow Effects of Central Bank Asset Purchases on Sovereign Bond
      Prices: Evidence from a Natural Experiment.
    • Federico Maria Ferrara
      European Central Bank, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; email: [email protected]

      ? European Central Bank, 2024
      Postal address 60640 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
      Telephone
      +49 69 1344 0
      Website
      www.ecb.europa.eu
      All rights reserved.

Press release - Child sexual abuse online: current rules extended until April 2026

Retrieved on: 
Thursday, April 18, 2024

Child sexual abuse online: current rules extended until April 2026

Key Points: 
  • Child sexual abuse online: current rules extended until April 2026
    - Measures in place, set to expire next August, to remain in force until 3 April 2026
    - MEPs stress the need to agree on a permanent framework
    On Wednesday Parliament backed prolonging an exemption to EU privacy rules facilitating the detection of child sexual abuse material online until 3 April 2026.
  • The derogation will be extended until 3 April 2026 so that an agreement on the long-term legal framework to prevent and combat child sexual abuse online can be reached.
  • Quote
    Rapporteur Birgit Sippel (S&D, Germany) said: “Child sexual abuse is a horrible crime and we need to prevent its spread online.
  • For this reason, we have agreed to extend the derogation that allows some companies to use technology to detect online child sexual abuse material.

Gaza update: the questionable precision and ethics of Israel’s AI warfare machine

Retrieved on: 
Thursday, April 18, 2024

The IDF says it has been working on information gleaned from questioning Palestinian fighters captured in the fighting.

Key Points: 
  • The IDF says it has been working on information gleaned from questioning Palestinian fighters captured in the fighting.
  • According to a report in the Jerusalem Post on April 17, the Palestinian fighters were hiding out in schools in the area.
  • The investigation, by online Israeli magazines +927 and Local Call examined the use of an AI programme called “Lavender”.
  • It’s important to note that the IDF is not the only military to be working with AI in this way.
  • But one function of the way the IDF is harnessing Lavender in this current conflict is its use alongside other systems.
  • Read more:
    Israel accused of using AI to target thousands in Gaza, as killer algorithms outpace international law

The Iranian dimension

  • Away from the charnel house that is the Gaza Strip, the focus has been on the aftermath of Israel’s strike on the Iranian embassy in Baghdad on April 1.
  • As is his wont, Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, vowed revenge, declaring: “The Zionist regime will be punished by the hands of our brave men.
  • And this was very much how it was to turn out when Iran’s drones and missiles flew last weekend.
  • Read more:
    Could Israel's strike against the Iranian embassy in Damascus escalate into a wider regional war?
  • Read more:
    Why Iran's failed attack on Israel may well turn out to be a strategic success

The nuclear option?


One of the possibilities being widely canvassed is that Israel could mount some kind of attack on Iran’s nuclear weapons programme. This has been revitalised in the years since Donald Trump pulled the US out of the deal negotiated by his predecessor Barack Obama.

  • He walks us through the history of Iran’s nuclear programme, a story littered with the bodies of Iranian nuclear scientists and the wreckage of its nuclear facilities thanks to fiendish cyberattacks such as the Stuxnet virus developed by Israel and the US that was launched against Iran in 2010.
  • Since Trump quit the nuclear deal, Iran has gone full-steam ahead in ramping up its nuclear weapons programme, while reportedly hiding its key installations in deep underground bunkers that are thought impossible to destroy from the air.

Orphan designation: Tranilast Prevention of scarring post glaucoma filtration surgery, 27/07/2010 Positive

Retrieved on: 
Thursday, April 18, 2024

Orphan designation: Tranilast Prevention of scarring post glaucoma filtration surgery, 27/07/2010 Positive

Key Points: 


Orphan designation: Tranilast Prevention of scarring post glaucoma filtration surgery, 27/07/2010 Positive

Christine Lagarde, Luis de Guindos: Monetary policy statement (with Q&A)

Retrieved on: 
Thursday, April 18, 2024

Stock market development and familiarity (language and distance) are considered key determinants for home bias.

Key Points: 
  • Stock market development and familiarity (language and distance) are considered key determinants for home bias.
  • The literature neglects however that investors often invest in foreign funds domiciled in financial centers.