War

• WASHINGTON, Jan. 17, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- As uncertainties intensify around the U.S.-China relations, a new study released by a bilateral collaborative group produced four scenarios for possible U.S.-China relations to help policy makers, experts and stakeholders navigate through a foreign policy maze with long term thinking tools.
• The project, Four Scenarios For U.S.-China Relations and Their Impact on the Global Order to 2035 , led by PAX sapiens , a Colorado-based philanthropic foundation, the Grandview Institute , a Beijing-based think tank, and Reos Partners , an international consulting group focusing on systemic change, aims to guide the relationship towards a peaceful future.
• The study results in four proposed scenarios titled "Drift, War, Blocs and Networks."
• While the scenarios are the result of careful attention and deliberation, not every participant agrees with all of the details in this document, nor do these scenarios represent the views of the organizing and funding institutions.

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• Invisible Iceberg not only educates, but also underscores the profound impact of weather and climate on business, civilization, and warfare.
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• WASHINGTON, Jan. 9, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- A groundbreaking guidebook for fighting and winning the upcoming wars in outer space was released today from space warfare experts Paul Szymanski and Jerry Drew.
• All warfare is a competition between human minds, even the battle in outer space.
• "[This book] is a great read that will be very valuable for both casual observers and professional space warfighters alike."
• Space warfare will test the knowledge, experience, fears, beliefs, stamina, and will of civilians, military commanders, and political leadership like never before.

• At first glance however, it might appear that China is preparing for a long-term conflict with the US over Taiwan, the self-governing island of 24 million people, which the mainland claims.
• In his New Year’s address China’s president, Xi Jinping, stated that Taiwan would “surely be reunited” with China.
• This is particularly significant as it comes days ahead of Taiwan’s national election on January 13.

Other key indicators

• There are other key indicators to watch out for.
• This is also a common theme among Chinese netizens as well, many of whom tend to be more nationalistic than the government is.

Technical battles

• In doing so Biden signalled he may be prepared to appeared to edge away slightly from his hardline policies to reduce dependence on China’s technology.
• His administration has not allowed US chip manufacturers to sell to China as well encouraging its allies to block the sale of hi-tech chip making exports.
• Dutch manufacturer ASML’s cancellation of its shipments of chip-making machinery to China, was attributed to pressure from Washington.

Both sides have reservations

• This was further underlined by several simulation exercises of a Taiwan conflict by the US military in 2020.
• They discovered that nine out of ten of the possible outcomes ended in a US defeat.
• So, a potential conflict with China poses a notable challenge for American power.
• It’s clear that the present crises have provided an opportunity for China to gain understanding of current military challenges, as well as delivering some benefits.

Tom Harper does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.