Business cycle

Fraser Institute News Release: Canada’s economic performance heading into COVID recession was weakest of last five pre-recession periods

Retrieved on: 
Thursday, February 11, 2021
Recessions, Economy, Articles, Business cycle, Unemployment, Macroeconomics, COVID-19 recession, Stock market crashes, Recession shapes, Great Recession in the United States

Canadas economy, whether measured by growth in income or business investment, or the strength of our labour markets, was the weakest in the four years (2016-19) leading up to the COVID-recession relative to the four previous comparative periods, said Jason Clemens, executive vice president of the Fraser Institute and co-author of Comparing Economic Performance in Five Pre-recession Periods .

Key Points: 
  • Canadas economy, whether measured by growth in income or business investment, or the strength of our labour markets, was the weakest in the four years (2016-19) leading up to the COVID-recession relative to the four previous comparative periods, said Jason Clemens, executive vice president of the Fraser Institute and co-author of Comparing Economic Performance in Five Pre-recession Periods .
  • The study compares numerous economic indicators relating to income growth, labour markets and business investment for the last five pre-recessionary periods: 1986-1989, 1997-2000, 2005-2008, 2011-2014, and 2016-2019.
  • On almost all of the measures included in the analysis, the economic performance from 2016 to 2019 (the years preceding the COVID-19 recession) was the weakest.
  • The evidence is clearCanadas economy was weaker heading into the COVID-19 recession than it was during the years preceding the last four recessions or economic slowdowns, Clemens said.

F&D Reports / Creditntell Releases White Paper on the Battle Between Wall Street and Main Street from a Credit Risk Perspective

Retrieved on: 
Wednesday, February 3, 2021
Business cycle, Economic bubble

Now more than ever, these fundamentals remain paramount in making objective assessments of credit quality, while understanding that some pockets will continue to exhibit irrational, bubble-like behavior.

Key Points: 
  • Now more than ever, these fundamentals remain paramount in making objective assessments of credit quality, while understanding that some pockets will continue to exhibit irrational, bubble-like behavior.
  • ICI's 'Retail Outlook 2021' provides an informed perspective on retail movement amid the pandemic, including industry trends as well as the predicted winners, losers, and question marks by segment.
  • This latest report to clients reinforces the need to remain vigilant but grounded in financial reality when evaluating credit worthiness.
  • Information Clearinghouse, Inc. (publisher of F&D Reports & Creditntell) is a leading credit consulting firm specializing in the analysis of public and private companies in numerous retail segments.

Recessionary Consumer Financial Services, 2020 Market Report - Consumers in the Post-Covid-19 Crisis Period are Anxious and will Remain So Going Forward - ResearchAndMarkets.com

Retrieved on: 
Thursday, January 28, 2021
Professional services, Finance, Business cycle, Recession, Unemployment, Consumer spending

This report details the major enduring changes to consumer spending and banking habits that occur during a recession and recovery.

Key Points: 
  • This report details the major enduring changes to consumer spending and banking habits that occur during a recession and recovery.
  • Consumers are coping with high degrees of uncertainty regarding the pandemic and depressing recessionary news.
  • As a result, there will be key changes to attitudes and behaviors that will persist well after the crisis subsides.
  • Develop your payments proposition to match the service and product demand expressed by consumers streamlining their lifestyles in light of the recession.

New Book From Author Arnobio Morelix Outlines Post-Pandemic Path to Recovery for Entrepreneurs, Tech Companies

Retrieved on: 
Thursday, January 28, 2021
Business cycle, Recession, Unemployment, Technology company

"Every crisis creates opportunity, with over half of Fortune 500 companies founded during a recession, and the Great Reboot is no different," said Morelix.

Key Points: 
  • "Every crisis creates opportunity, with over half of Fortune 500 companies founded during a recession, and the Great Reboot is no different," said Morelix.
  • Tech companies are not guys and gals in a garage anymore, but the world's major economic force.
  • Nine out of the 10 ten largest companies in the world today are in technology, compared to one in 10 in 2008.
  • We are on a drastically different path, and companies have a large role in building a fair and equitable future."

Liberty One Investment Management Releases Thought-Provoking White Paper

Retrieved on: 
Tuesday, January 26, 2021
Capitalism, Business cycle, Recession, Unemployment, Stock market, Economy

CHICAGO, Jan. 26, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- Liberty One Investment Management released a thought-provoking white paper for distribution last week:"Defining and Investing in Recession Resistant Industries," by Nick Ng, CFA, Liberty One's Lead Portfolio Manager.

Key Points: 
  • CHICAGO, Jan. 26, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- Liberty One Investment Management released a thought-provoking white paper for distribution last week:"Defining and Investing in Recession Resistant Industries," by Nick Ng, CFA, Liberty One's Lead Portfolio Manager.
  • "Recessions and market cycles are an inevitable part of the investment journey," says Nick as he unpacks key elements of his research.
  • The white paper discusses dividends and describes them as being a vital component to total stock market returns, including returns in recession resistant industries.
  • Liberty One's flagship investment strategies have historically leveraged the key components of recession resistant industries, says Nick.

The Conference Board of Canada Forecasts Economic Growth In 2021 And 2022

Retrieved on: 
Tuesday, January 12, 2021
Economic forecasting, Business cycle, Recession, Unemployment, Economic Outlook, Economy

Ottawa, Ontario, Jan. 12, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Conference Board of Canada has released its two-year economic outlook and forecasts that real gross domestic product (GDP) will grow 5.3 per cent in 2021 and 3.5 per cent in 2022 respectively.

Key Points: 
  • Ottawa, Ontario, Jan. 12, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Conference Board of Canada has released its two-year economic outlook and forecasts that real gross domestic product (GDP) will grow 5.3 per cent in 2021 and 3.5 per cent in 2022 respectively.
  • The growth forecasts for the next two years follow an estimated economic contraction of 5.3 per cent in 2020, one of the deepest recessions in modern times.
  • The Conference Board forecasts 4.2 per cent in real GDP growth for the United States in 2021, driven largely by pent-up consumer demand.
  • About the Conference Board of Canada:
    The Conference Board of Canada is the countrys leading independent research organization.

The scarring effects of past crises on the global economy

Retrieved on: 
Friday, January 8, 2021
Articles, Economy, Business cycle, Economic crises, Marxian economics, Macroeconomics, Financial crisis, Systemic risk, Recession, Crisis theory, Unemployment, Economic depression

The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic is an unparalleled shock to the global economy.

Key Points: 
  • The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic is an unparalleled shock to the global economy.
  • following the adoption of stringent lockdown measures) and a demand shock as a consequence of increased unemployment and heightened uncertainty.
  • Given the complex nature of the COVID-19 shock, the implications for the long-term growth potential of the global economy must be considered.
  • This box reviews past crises and the transmission channels through which potential output is affected.
  • Furthermore, the COVID-19 crisis is in many respects unique, and therefore past crises may not be reliable indicators of the lasting effects it may have on the global economy, not least because its length, one of the key parameters for assessing potential scarring effects, remains unknown.
  • Assessing the scarring effects of past crises does provide some indication as to how the COVID-19 shock may affect potential output.
  • Chart A Scarring effects of past epidemics and other crises on potential output levels (indices)
  • In contrast, financial crises are associated with a very persistent downward shift in potential output.
  • The results for past financial crises (as examples of endogenous crises, i.e.
  • This is supported by the fact that, for recessions caused by financial crises, no overshooting in growth rates can be observed after the end of the recession, pointing to long-lasting scarring effects on the level of potential output (see Chart B).
  • Chart B Impact of past epidemics and other crises on potential output growth (percentage growth rates)
  • Evidence shows that in recessions following financial crises, the impact of the crisis was particularly persistent for the capital stock.
  • [9] It is useful to assess the impact of past financial crises on the individual components of potential output.
  • While the negative impact on total factor productivity and labour input starts to subside after approximately three years, there are adverse and persistent effects on the capital stock, which is the main source of the long-term scarring effects of financial crises.
  • COVID-19 could negatively affect the capital stock, as was observed in past financial crises.
  • As the COVID-19 shock has above all hit labour-intensive sectors, the initial impact on labour supply could be stronger compared with past financial crises.
  • With the exception of transport, the sectors most affected by the COVID-19 containment measures (i.e.
  • retail trade, accommodation and food services, entertainment and recreation) tend to be more labour than capital-intensive (see Chart D).
  • [12] At the same time, it should be recognised that the losses depend on the policy response and the success of labour market policies in mitigating these effects.

Outlook on the United States Bubble Packaging Industry to 2024 - Players Include Pregis, Sealed Air & Specialized Packing Group Among Others - ResearchAndMarkets.com

Retrieved on: 
Monday, December 28, 2020
Packaging, Manufacturing, Financial crises, Financial economics, Economy, Business cycle, Economic bubble, Inflation, Economics, Articles, Packaging, Labels

The "Bubble Packaging" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.

Key Points: 
  • The "Bubble Packaging" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.
  • This report includes the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the bubble packaging market.
  • This study analyzes the US market for bubble packaging by the following markets:
    Retail and other markets (e.g., direct-to-consumer mail-order shipments)
    Historical data (2009, 2014, and 2019) and forecasts for 2024 are presented for bubble packaging demand in current US dollars (including inflation) and in pounds.

Global Electrical Houses (E-Houses) Market Report 2020-2027: Market is Expected to Slump by -8.2% in the Year 2020 and Recover to Reach US$1.7 Billion by 2027

Retrieved on: 
Monday, December 21, 2020
Business cycle, Recession, Unemployment

DUBLIN, Dec. 21, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- The "Electrical Houses (E-Houses) - Global Market Trajectory & Analytics" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.

Key Points: 
  • DUBLIN, Dec. 21, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- The "Electrical Houses (E-Houses) - Global Market Trajectory & Analytics" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.
  • In 1Q 2020, electricity demand dropped sharply as confinement measures led to closure of manufacturing plants, retail & commercial facilities.
  • Post lockdown, the steep global recession & slump in economic activity are preventing demand recovery to pre-lockdown levels.
  • In the U.S. commercial & industrial sectors triggered a -7.8% drop in power demand in 2020 Vs 2019.

Global Titrators (Automatic and Manual) Market to 2027: Market to Reach US$470.5 Million Following a Slump of 6% in 2020

Retrieved on: 
Friday, December 18, 2020
Business cycle, Recession, Unemployment

DUBLIN, Dec. 18, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- The "Titrators (Automatic and Manual) - Global Market Trajectory & Analytics" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.

Key Points: 
  • DUBLIN, Dec. 18, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- The "Titrators (Automatic and Manual) - Global Market Trajectory & Analytics" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.
  • Cuts Backs On Capital Spending in the Wake of COVID-19 Thwarts All Hopes of Growth for Titrators.
  • The global market for Titrators (Automatic and Manual) is expected to slump by -6% in the year 2020 and thereafter recover and grow to reach US$470.5 million by the year 2027, trailing a post COVID-19 CAGR of 4.4% over the analysis period 2020 through 2027.
  • Global decline in demand for manufactured goods and services has forced companies to reprioritize spending and focus on cash liquidity position.