Correction in Uncertainty Intervals for Cumulative COVID-19 Death Forecasts in Europe
Specifically, the error was associated with the range of possible numbers of cumulative deaths over the course of the pandemic from the Institute's lowest expected number of cumulative deaths, the "mean" or likely number of potential deaths, and the highest number of cumulative deaths.
- Specifically, the error was associated with the range of possible numbers of cumulative deaths over the course of the pandemic from the Institute's lowest expected number of cumulative deaths, the "mean" or likely number of potential deaths, and the highest number of cumulative deaths.
- The figures in the visualization for the range of daily deaths, hospitalizations, ICU bed-days and ventilator need are correct.
- IHME will continue to update hospital usage, ventilator usage and projected deaths on a daily basis.
- Upcoming forecasts will reflect our corrected approach.