Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquencies Hit Record Low in March, Driven by Both Seasonal and Broader Economic Improvements; Prepays Up Despite Rate Increases

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The national delinquency rate dropped by more than half a percentage point in March, falling to 2.84% and shattering the previous record low of 3.22% in January 2020

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Provider: 
PR NewswirePR Newswire
Retrieved on: 
Monday, April 25, 2022
Information
Tags: 
NYSE, Black knight, Sale, BKI, Silviculture, Real estate, Commercial property
Geotags: 
FLORIDA
Organisation: 
BLACK KNIGHT, INC.
Stock Symbol: 
NYSE:BKI
Summary
Key Points: 
  • The national delinquency rate dropped by more than half a percentage point in March, falling to 2.84% and shattering the previous record low of 3.22% in January 2020
    The strongest improvement was seen among borrowers who are a single payment past due, with 30-day delinquencies recording a 20% month-over-month decline
    Though serious delinquencies those 90 or more days past due but not in foreclosure fell 12% for the strongest single-month improvement in 20 years, they remain 70% above pre-pandemic levels
    The number of active foreclosures edged slightly higher in March, marking the first year-over-year increase in almost 10 years, though inventories also remain well below pre-pandemic levels
    Prepayment activity bucked the recent trend of sharply rising interest rates driving falling prepay speeds, rising by 9% in March, likely driven at least in part by seasonal increases in home sales-related prepays
    JACKSONVILLE, Fla., April 25, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Black Knight, Inc. (NYSE:BKI) reports the following "first look" at March 2022 month-end mortgage performance statistics derived from its loan-level database representing the majority of the national mortgage market.
  • Total U.S. loan delinquency rate (loans 30 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure): 2.84%
    Number of properties that are 30 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure: 1,513,000
    Number of properties that are 90 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure: 694,000
    Number of properties in foreclosure pre-sale inventory: 169,000
    Number of properties that are 30 or more days past due or in foreclosure: 1,682,000


Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquencies Hit Record Low in March, Driven by Both Seasonal and Broader Economic Improvements; Prepays Up Despite Rate Increases

  • The national delinquency rate dropped by more than half a percentage point in March, falling to 2.84% and shattering the previous record low of 3.22% in January 2020
  • While March typically sees the strongest mortgage performance of any month – with delinquencies falling more than 10% on average over the past 20 years – this year's 15.5% reduction was exceptionally strong
  • Robust employment, continued student loan deferrals, strong post-forbearance performance and millions of refinances into record-low interest rates have all helped put downward pressure on delinquency rates
  • The strongest improvement was seen among borrowers who are a single payment past due, with 30-day delinquencies recording a 20% month-over-month decline
  • Though serious delinquencies – those 90 or more days past due but not in foreclosure – fell 12% for the strongest single-month improvement in 20 years, they remain 70% above pre-pandemic levels
  • Despite elevated serious delinquencies, foreclosure starts fell by 3% from the month prior and are holding well below pre-pandemic levels
  • The number of active foreclosures edged slightly higher in March, marking the first year-over-year increase in almost 10 years, though inventories also remain well below pre-pandemic levels
  • Prepayment activity bucked the recent trend of sharply rising interest rates driving falling prepay speeds, rising by 9% in March, likely driven at least in part by seasonal increases in home sales-related prepays

JACKSONVILLE, Fla., April 25, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Black Knight, Inc. (NYSE:BKI) reports the following "first look" at March 2022 month-end mortgage performance statistics derived from its loan-level database representing the majority of the national mortgage market.

Total U.S. loan delinquency rate (loans 30 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure): 2.84%
Month-over-month change: -15.46%
Year-over-year change: -43.46%

Total U.S. foreclosure pre-sale inventory rate: 0.32%
Month-over-month change: 3.70%
Year-over-year change: 3.94%

Total U.S. foreclosure starts: 24,300        
Month-over-month change: -2.80%
Year-over-year change: 386.00%

Monthly prepayment rate (SMM): 1.22%
Month-over-month change: 8.76%
Year-over-year change: -63.54%

Foreclosure sales as % of 90+: 0.42%
Month-over-month change: 39.01%
Year-over-year change: 172.90%

Number of properties that are 30 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure: 1,513,000
Month-over-month change: -270,000
Year-over-year change: -1,159,000

Number of properties that are 90 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure: 694,000
Month-over-month change: -93,000
Year-over-year change: -1,225,000

Number of properties in foreclosure pre-sale inventory: 169,000
Month-over-month change: 7,000
Year-over-year change: 7,000

Number of properties that are 30 or more days past due or in foreclosure: 1,682,000
Month-over-month change: -264,000
Year-over-year change: -1,152,000

Top 5 States by Non-Current* Percentage


Mississippi:           

6.21%

Louisiana:             

5.81%

Oklahoma:             

4.58%

Alabama:                 

4.57%

West Virginia:       

4.40%

 

Bottom 5 States by Non-Current* Percentage

Utah:                       

1.98%

California:                 

1.87%

Colorado:                 

1.80%

Idaho:                       

1.71%

Washington:             

1.70%

 

Top 5 States by 90+ Days Delinquent Percentage

Mississippi:             

2.70%

Louisiana:               

2.69%

Alabama:                 

1.92%

Arkansas:                 

1.85%

Maryland:                   

1.85%

                                                                               

Top 5 States by 6-Month Improvement in Non-Current* Percentage

Hawaii:             

-40.54%

Louisiana:         

-34.93%

Nevada:             

-32.64%

California:           

-30.45%

New Jersey:         

-30.12%

                                                                          

Top 5 States by 6-Month Deterioration in Non-Current* Percentage

Michigan:               

-10.67%

North Dakota:         

-12.69%

Iowa:                       

-14.77%

Maine:                     

-15.18%

New Hampshire:       

-17.05%

                                                                                        

*Non-current totals combine foreclosures and delinquencies as a percent of active loans in that state.

Notes:

  1. Totals are extrapolated based on Black Knight's loan-level database of mortgage assets.
  2. All whole numbers are rounded to the nearest thousand, except foreclosure starts, which are rounded to the nearest hundred.

For a more detailed view of this month's "first look" data, please visit the Black Knight newsroom. The company will provide a more in-depth review of this data in its monthly Mortgage Monitor report, which includes an analysis of data supplemented by detailed charts and graphs that reflect trend and point-in-time observations. The Mortgage Monitor report will be available online by May 2, 2022. For more information about gaining access to Black Knight's loan-level database, please send an email to [email protected].

About Black Knight

Black Knight, Inc. (NYSE:BKI) is an award-winning software, data and analytics company that drives innovation in the mortgage lending and servicing and real estate industries, as well as the capital and secondary markets. Businesses leverage our robust, integrated solutions across the entire homeownership life cycle to help retain existing customers, gain new customers, mitigate risk and operate more effectively.

Our clients rely on our proven, comprehensive, scalable products and our unwavering commitment to delivering superior client support to achieve their strategic goals and better serve their customers. For more information on Black Knight, please visit www.blackknightinc.com.

 

For more information:

Michelle Kersch





Mitch Cohen     

904.854.5043





704.890.8158

[email protected]





[email protected]

 

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