'City killers' and half-giraffes: how many scary asteroids really go past Earth every year?
This follows many Hollywood movies imagining the destruction they could cause if a big one hits Earth.
- This follows many Hollywood movies imagining the destruction they could cause if a big one hits Earth.
- We have also had headlines warning of “city killer”, “planet killer” and “God of Chaos” asteroids.
- How many asteroids hit Earth and how many can we expect to zip past us?
What is the threat of a direct hit?
- There are far more small asteroids than large asteroids, and small asteroids cause much less damage than large asteroids.
- So, Earth experiences frequent but low-impact collisions with small asteroids, and rare but high-impact collisions with big asteroids.
How many asteroids fly right past Earth?
- A very simplified calculation gives you a sense for how many asteroids you might expect to come close to our planet.
- The numbers in the graphic above estimate how many asteroids could hit Earth every year.
- Now, let’s take the case of four-metre asteroids.
- Once per year, on average, a four-metre asteroid will intersect the surface of Earth.
How do we assess threats and what can we do about it?
- When a new one is found, astronomers take extensive observations to assess any threat to Earth.
- The Torino Scale categorises predicted threats up to 100 years into the future, the scale being from 0 (no hazard) to 10 (certain collision with big object).
- No known object to date has had a rating above 4 (a close encounter, meriting attention by astronomers).