Asteroid

'City killers' and half-giraffes: how many scary asteroids really go past Earth every year?

Retrieved on: 
Freitag, August 4, 2023

This follows many Hollywood movies imagining the destruction they could cause if a big one hits Earth.

Key Points: 
  • This follows many Hollywood movies imagining the destruction they could cause if a big one hits Earth.
  • We have also had headlines warning of “city killer”, “planet killer” and “God of Chaos” asteroids.
  • How many asteroids hit Earth and how many can we expect to zip past us?

What is the threat of a direct hit?

    • There are far more small asteroids than large asteroids, and small asteroids cause much less damage than large asteroids.
    • So, Earth experiences frequent but low-impact collisions with small asteroids, and rare but high-impact collisions with big asteroids.

How many asteroids fly right past Earth?

    • A very simplified calculation gives you a sense for how many asteroids you might expect to come close to our planet.
    • The numbers in the graphic above estimate how many asteroids could hit Earth every year.
    • Now, let’s take the case of four-metre asteroids.
    • Once per year, on average, a four-metre asteroid will intersect the surface of Earth.

How do we assess threats and what can we do about it?

    • When a new one is found, astronomers take extensive observations to assess any threat to Earth.
    • The Torino Scale categorises predicted threats up to 100 years into the future, the scale being from 0 (no hazard) to 10 (certain collision with big object).
    • No known object to date has had a rating above 4 (a close encounter, meriting attention by astronomers).

Most Americans support NASA – but don't think it should prioritize sending people to space

Retrieved on: 
Donnerstag, August 3, 2023

Most Americans (69%) believe it is essential that the United States continue to be a world leader in space.

Key Points: 
  • Most Americans (69%) believe it is essential that the United States continue to be a world leader in space.
  • But only a subsection of that group believes NASA should prioritize sending people to the Moon, according to a new report released by the Pew Research Center.
  • The study surveyed over 10,000 U.S. adults on their attitudes toward NASA and their expectations for the space industry over the next few decades.

US dominance in space

    • But the specific priorities of the U.S. space program have often been at odds with public opinion.
    • Although somewhat at odds with the national space agenda, this valuation is not new.
    • Between 1989 and 1995, polling revealed that the public thought the U.S. space program should focus on robotic spacecraft as opposed to crewed missions.
    • This position began to change in the mid-1990s with docking of the space shuttle with the Russian space station and several blockbuster space-themed films.
    • Despite moderate public support, human spaceflight consistently receives the majority share of U.S. civilian space funding, suggesting that public opinion and the national space agenda stand apart.

Planetary defense

    • It found 60% of people believed NASA’s top priority should be monitoring asteroids that could hit the Earth.
    • NASA does have national responsibility for this job – referred to as planetary defense – but the office receives less than 1% of NASA’s budget, or US$138 million out of $25.4 billion in 2023.
    • This included the Double Asteroid Redirect Test – the world’s first planetary defense experiment.

Private enterprise in space

    • Private activity in space goes back to the 1960s, with the creation of commercial communication satellite companies and growth of large defense contractors.
    • Many Americans view private activity in space positively, but a large portion have not yet formed an opinion.
    • Similarly, 47% of Americans said private companies are making important contributions to space exploration, but another 40% were unsure.

Militarization of space

    • They believe the U.S. will definitely or probably fight against other nations in space sometime in the next 50 years.
    • However, no nation has ever physically attacked another nation’s satellite in space.
    • In addition, the United Nations’ open-ended working group on reducing space threats has been meeting since 2022 to help avoid conflict in space.

Space debris

    • Americans are also concerned about space debris – 69% think there will definitely or probably be a major problem with debris in space by 2073.
    • Space debris can include defunct satellites, discarded rocket bodies, or pieces of satellites resulting from accidental collisions or anti-satellite tests.
    • The number of objects in space has grown rapidly, from just over 1,000 in 2013 to 6,718 satellites today.
    • Mariel Borowitz receives funding from the National Air and Space Administration (NASA), the Department of Defense (DoD), and the National Science Foundation.

Asteroid Institute Unveils Rapid Online Precovery Tool For Searching Multiple Astronomical Datasets in Minutes

Retrieved on: 
Dienstag, August 1, 2023

SAN FRANCISCO, Aug. 1, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Asteroid Institute, a program of B612 Foundation, announced today the release of a publicly available Precovery service that can both confirm and refine the orbits of asteroids by rapidly searching through a collection of astronomical data that has been curated and hosted on Google Cloud. The service, which runs on the Asteroid Discovery Analysis and Mapping (ADAM) platform and its unified observational dataset, can provide results in a matter of minutes for a task that typically takes astronomers days or months (if starting from scratch) to complete.

Key Points: 
  • Earlier this week, Asteroid Institute scientists found a collection of previously unattributed images of the newly discovered Potentially Hazardous Asteroid (PHA) 2022 SF289 as found by the team at Vera C. Rubin Observatory.
  • ADAM::Precovery was also used by the Institute to refine the orbits of 28 PHAs tracked on the NASA and ESA Risk Lists.
  • Finally, the commercial company Karman+ has been working with Asteroid Institute to use precovery in finding observations of Near Earth Asteroids that could be potential targets for space missions.
  • Within minutes of being notified of its discovery in ATLAS survey data by the Rubin Observatory team, Asteroid Institute engineers recovered additional observations of newly identified potentially hazardous asteroid 2022 SF289 using ADAM's precovery tool.

Asteroid Institute Unveils Rapid Online Precovery Tool For Searching Multiple Astronomical Datasets in Minutes

Retrieved on: 
Dienstag, August 1, 2023

SAN FRANCISCO, Aug. 1, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Asteroid Institute, a program of B612 Foundation, announced today the release of a publicly available Precovery service that can both confirm and refine the orbits of asteroids by rapidly searching through a collection of astronomical data that has been curated and hosted on Google Cloud. The service, which runs on the Asteroid Discovery Analysis and Mapping (ADAM) platform and its unified observational dataset, can provide results in a matter of minutes for a task that typically takes astronomers days or months (if starting from scratch) to complete.

Key Points: 
  • Earlier this week, Asteroid Institute scientists found a collection of previously unattributed images of the newly discovered Potentially Hazardous Asteroid (PHA) 2022 SF289 as found by the team at Vera C. Rubin Observatory.
  • ADAM::Precovery was also used by the Institute to refine the orbits of 28 PHAs tracked on the NASA and ESA Risk Lists.
  • Finally, the commercial company Karman+ has been working with Asteroid Institute to use precovery in finding observations of Near Earth Asteroids that could be potential targets for space missions.
  • Within minutes of being notified of its discovery in ATLAS survey data by the Rubin Observatory team, Asteroid Institute engineers recovered additional observations of newly identified potentially hazardous asteroid 2022 SF289 using ADAM's precovery tool.

The Northern Territory does not have a crocodile problem – and 'salties' do not need culling

Retrieved on: 
Mittwoch, Juli 19, 2023

Last week, a 67-year-old man was bitten on the arm by a saltwater crocodile at a waterhole in the Northern Territory’s Top End.

Key Points: 
  • Last week, a 67-year-old man was bitten on the arm by a saltwater crocodile at a waterhole in the Northern Territory’s Top End.
  • The last fatal incident in the territory occurred in 2018 when an Indigenous ranger was killed while fishing with her family.
  • Data suggest the saltwater crocodile population in the NT does not need to be culled and their management does not need changing.

Getting to grips with ‘salties’

    • This, as well as demand for crocodile skins, has resulted in the species being eradicated from much of its former range.
    • Now, there are no saltwater crocodiles in several countries including Cambodia, China, Seychelles, Thailand and Vietnam.
    • In the Northern Territory, crocodile numbers dropped to about 5,000 before a culling ban was introduced in 1971.
    • Read more:
      Friday essay: reckoning with an animal that sees us as prey — living and working in crocodile country

The current approach works

    • And the rarity of fatal attacks on humans indicates the territory’s crocodile management plan is effective.
    • The plan involves, among other measures, removing problem crocodiles, raising public awareness around safely co-existing with the animals, and monitoring their impact.
    • Yet the crocodile population there is likely small and recovering, based on the limited number of surveys conducted.
    • In the Indonesian province of East Nusa Tenggara, for example, crocodiles killed at least 60 people between 2009 and 2018.

The downsides of culling crocs

    • Culling saltwater crocodiles isn’t just bad for the species.
    • The public could be lulled into a false sense of security and think a location is safe for swimming, even though crocodiles remain.
    • Culling them could damage the NT’s reputation as an ecotourism destination.

SCHWEICKART PRIZE ANNOUNCED TO RECOGNIZE CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE FIELD OF ASTEROID DEFENSE

Retrieved on: 
Freitag, Juni 30, 2023

SAN FRANCISCO, June 30, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Today, on June 30th, International Asteroid Day, B612 Foundation announced the Schweickart Prize, named in honor of renowned Apollo 9 astronaut Rusty Schweickart, which will recognize individuals who have made exceptional contributions to planetary defense and advancing life's evolutionary journey. The prize acknowledges the significance of embracing our collective responsibility for safeguarding humanity's transition into the broader cosmos. "Through the Association of Space Explorers (ASE), we worked on the issue of planetary defense from asteroid impacts. Rusty Schweickart took a leadership role with the ASE to enable others to bring this global issue to the United Nations. This topic is now debated on a global stage as a result of Rusty's commitment. This prize in Rusty's honor is a fitting tribute to his lifetime of leadership," said Dr. Franklin Chang-Díaz, NASA astronaut, CEO of Ad Astra Rocket Co, and NASA's first Hispanic astronaut.

Key Points: 
  • The prize acknowledges the significance of embracing our collective responsibility for safeguarding humanity's transition into the broader cosmos.
  • "Through the Association of Space Explorers (ASE), we worked on the issue of planetary defense from asteroid impacts.
  • Rusty Schweickart took a leadership role with the ASE to enable others to bring this global issue to the United Nations.
  • The prize will be awarded annually to exceptional individuals, specifically undergraduate and graduate students and early career professionals actively involved in planetary defense.

SCHWEICKART PRIZE ANNOUNCED TO RECOGNIZE CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE FIELD OF ASTEROID DEFENSE

Retrieved on: 
Freitag, Juni 30, 2023

SAN FRANCISCO, June 30, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Today, on June 30th, International Asteroid Day, B612 Foundation announced the Schweickart Prize, named in honor of renowned Apollo 9 astronaut Rusty Schweickart, which will recognize individuals who have made exceptional contributions to planetary defense and advancing life's evolutionary journey. The prize acknowledges the significance of embracing our collective responsibility for safeguarding humanity's transition into the broader cosmos. "Through the Association of Space Explorers (ASE), we worked on the issue of planetary defense from asteroid impacts. Rusty Schweickart took a leadership role with the ASE to enable others to bring this global issue to the United Nations. This topic is now debated on a global stage as a result of Rusty's commitment. This prize in Rusty's honor is a fitting tribute to his lifetime of leadership," said Dr. Franklin Chang-Díaz, NASA astronaut, CEO of Ad Astra Rocket Co, and NASA's first Hispanic astronaut.

Key Points: 
  • The prize acknowledges the significance of embracing our collective responsibility for safeguarding humanity's transition into the broader cosmos.
  • "Through the Association of Space Explorers (ASE), we worked on the issue of planetary defense from asteroid impacts.
  • Rusty Schweickart took a leadership role with the ASE to enable others to bring this global issue to the United Nations.
  • The prize will be awarded annually to exceptional individuals, specifically undergraduate and graduate students and early career professionals actively involved in planetary defense.

Did our mammal ancestors live alongside dinosaurs? New research hopes to end long-running debate

Retrieved on: 
Freitag, Juni 30, 2023

It includes some 6,000 species who live in the oceans as well as on land.

Key Points: 
  • It includes some 6,000 species who live in the oceans as well as on land.
  • My team’s study used a new method to investigate this question and our findings may help settle this debate.

Estimating origins

    • The first is reading the fossil record - the oldest fossil in a group determines the date when it first evolved.
    • For placental mammals, there are a couple of fossils from around 65 million years ago, just after the mass extinction of dinosaurs.
    • Another way of estimating when groups first evolved is through molecular clock dating studies.
    • Two species that are similar in their genetic makeup probably have family trees that split from each other fairly recently.

Rocks or clocks?

    • For young lineages that evolved only a few hundred thousand years ago, this sampling rate may be quite high, because we have more fossils from younger rocks.
    • Younger rocks are more intact, and often closer to the surface.
    • But for older groups, the sampling rate may be quite low because geological processes degrade and destroy rocks and fossils over time.

The origins of placental mammals

    • The BBB model estimated the age of placental mammals to be within the Cretaceous period, around 70-80 million years ago – possibly up to 20 million years before the asteroid impact.
    • From an origin at the feet of dinosaurs, placental mammals have soared to become the most dominant animals on Earth.

Redwire Announces Follow-On Contract to Develop Additional Roll-Out Solar Arrays for the International Space Station

Retrieved on: 
Mittwoch, Juni 28, 2023

Redwire Corporation (NYSE: RDW), a leader in space infrastructure for the next generation space economy, announced today that it has been awarded a follow-on contract from Boeing to develop two additional Roll-Out Solar Arrays (IROSA) for the International Space Station (ISS).

Key Points: 
  • Redwire Corporation (NYSE: RDW), a leader in space infrastructure for the next generation space economy, announced today that it has been awarded a follow-on contract from Boeing to develop two additional Roll-Out Solar Arrays (IROSA) for the International Space Station (ISS).
  • The IROSAs augment the space station’s power supply to support critical research and space operations.
  • This award is a follow-on to Redwire’s contract to deliver six IROSAs, which were developed in partnership with Boeing’s Spectrolab and delivered to NASA under contract with Boeing, NASA’s prime contractor for space station operations.
  • Redwire has continued to advance ROSA technology to power other spaceflight platforms and ambitious missions with reliable and stable power solutions.

Let’s focus on AI’s tangible risks rather than speculating about its potential to pose an existential threat

Retrieved on: 
Mittwoch, Juni 21, 2023

Prominent AI scientists and technologists have raised concerns about the hypothetical existential risks posed by these developments.

Key Points: 
  • Prominent AI scientists and technologists have raised concerns about the hypothetical existential risks posed by these developments.
  • It’s not our place to say one cannot, or should not, worry about the more exotic risks.

What is AI?

    • Its aspiration is to build intelligent computational systems, taking as a reference human intelligence.
    • In the same way as human intelligence is complex and diverse, there are many areas within artificial intelligence that aim to emulate aspects of human intelligence, from perception to reasoning, planning and decision-making.


    AI can be applied to any field from education to transportation, healthcare, law or manufacturing. Thus, it is profoundly changing all aspects of society. Even in its “narrow AI” form, it has a significant potential to generate sustainable economic growth and help us tackle the most pressing challenges of the 21st century, such as climate change, pandemics, and inequality.

Challenges posed by today’s AI systems

    • The recent emergence of highly capable large, generative pre-trained transformer (GPT) models exacerbates many of the existing challenges while creating new ones that deserve careful attention.
    • The unprecedented scale and speed with which these tools have been adopted by hundreds of millions of people worldwide is placing further stress on our societal and regulatory systems.

Is AI really an existential risk for humanity?

    • Unfortunately, rather than focusing on these tangible risks, the public conversation – most notably the recent open letters – has mainly focused on hypothetical existential risks of AI.
    • These are real human beings whose lives are in severe danger today, a danger certainly not caused by super AI.
    • Focusing on a hypothetical existential risk deviates our attention from the documented severe challenges that AI poses today, does not encompass the different perspectives of the broader research community, and contributes to unnecessary panic in the population.
    • Serge Belongie receives support from the Pioneer Centre for AI, Danish National Research Foundation (DNRF) grant number P1.